Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 11/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) are en route to Highmark Stadium on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Buffalo Bills (8-2). Kansas City opens this contest as 2.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 45.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 9-0 this year. The last time they took the field, the Chiefs faced the Denver Broncos and took home the win by a score of 16-14. Patrick Mahomes finished 28/42 with 266 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 92 and walked away from the contest with no picks. Kareem Hunt left with an average of 9.3 yards per catch by accumulating 65 yards on 7 catches. Kareem Hunt was the best rusher for the Chiefs with 14 carries for 35 yds (2.5 yds per carry). In all, they had 61 plays for 300 yds. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball 19 times and recorded 57 yds, which had them averaging 3.0 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Chiefs conceded 78 yds on 23 tries, which averages out to 3.4 yards per rush allowed. Kansas City allowed 22 pass completions on 30 attempts for a total of 182 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.3%.

The Chiefs have tallied 3,120 total yards for the season. Kansas City has accumulated 118 first downs, and they have been called for 45 penalties for 388 yds. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Kansas City has totaled 12 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 12 different times (9 picks and 3 fumbles lost). As a team they're maintaining an average of 115.1 yards in the run game which is 21st in the NFL. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 24.3 points per contest.

The Chiefs rank 6th in the National Football League concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 17.9 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 3.7 yards per rushing attempt and 83.2 rushing yards per game this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 749 yards on the ground through 9 games. In terms of passing yards, the Chiefs have surrendered 1,860 yards which puts them in 13th in football. They have surrendered 206.7 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 65.9%. During this campaign, they are conceding 289.9 yards per contest which has them ranked 4th in the National Football League. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns by air as well as 5 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bills come into this game with a record of 8-2 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bills walked away with a victory by a final of 30-20 when they played the Indianapolis Colts. Josh Allen finished the game with 280 yds on 22/37 through the air while his QB rate was 60.6. He threw 2 picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.6 yds. Mack Hollins was featured in the passing game for the Bills, grabbing 4 passes for 86 yards (21.5 yds per catch). James Cook ran the football 19 times for 80 yds, finishing the game with 4.2 yards per carry for Buffalo. The Bills finished the game with a total of 415 yds while running 68 plays (6.1 yards per play). Buffalo ended up running for 4.4 yards per attempt, totaling 135 yds on 31 attempts. Buffalo surrendered 22 attempts on the ground for 121 yds (5.5 yards per rush). The Bills pass defense allowed a completion rate of 74.3%, surrendering 240 yds on 26 out of 35 passing.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Bills rank 3rd in the league by tallying 29.0 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Bills have earned 2,225 passing yards along with holding an average of 222.5 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 13th out of all NFL teams. They have an average of 120.7 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,207 yards for the season. The Buffalo Bills average 343.2 yards per game which ranks them 14th in the league. The Buffalo offense has racked up 493 yds of penalties on 65 infractions, which has them ranked 12th in the league in terms of hurting your team.

The Bills are giving up 19.3 PPG, which puts them in 9th of all teams in the league. They have allowed 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 212.9 yards per game, which has them in 18th out of all teams. Buffalo has conceded a total of 1,232 yards rushing (123.2 yards per outing) as well as 6 touchdowns on the ground this season. The Bills defense has taken part in 618 plays, which ranks 20th in the league. Their defense has earned 19 takeaways (8 fumbles and 11 interceptions) so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs +2.5

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