Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, 1/28/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds AFC Championship

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Date: Sunday, January 28, 2024

Location: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Ravens (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

M&T Bank Stadium is the location where the Baltimore Ravens (14-4) will compete against the Kansas City Chiefs (13-6) on Sunday in the AFC Championship game. Baltimore opens this contest as 3-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 44.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this game 13-6 this season. In the Divisional round, the Chiefs faced the Bills and took home the win by a score of 27-24. Patrick Mahomes finished 17/23 with 215 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 131.6 and finished the contest with no interceptions. Travis Kelce had an average of 15.0 yards per catch by earning 75 yds on 5 receptions. Isiah Pacheco was the leader on the ground for the Chiefs with 15 carries for 97 yards (6.5 yds per carry). In the game, they had 47 plays for 361 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the football 24 different times and totaled 146 yards, which is an average of 6.1 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Chiefs gave up 182 yards on 39 attempts, which is an average of 4.7 yds per rush surrendered. Kansas City conceded 26 pass completions on 39 attempts for a total of 186 yds, and a completion rate of 66.7%.

When it comes to scoring, the Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 21.8 PPG. As a unit they average 104.9 yards on the ground ranking them 19th in the league. The Chiefs have tallied 5,972 total yards for the year. Kansas City has a total of 216 1st downs, and they have been called for 96 penalties for 845 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 28 different times (17 interceptions and 11 fumbles). With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Kansas City has amassed 28 touchdowns through the air and 9 touchdowns on the ground.

Regarding passing yardage, the Chiefs have conceded 3,001 yards which ranks them 4th in the NFL. They have conceded 176.5 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.2%. Overall, they are allowing 289.8 yards per outing putting them 2nd in the NFL. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rush on the ground and 113.2 rushing yards per contest this year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,925 yards on the ground through 17 outings. The Chiefs are ranked 2nd in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 17.3 PPG.

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The Ravens step onto the field holding a record of 14-4 for this season. In the Divisional round, the Ravens took home the win by a final score of 34-10 when they played the Texans. Lamar Jackson (2 TDs) ended the contest with 152 yards on 16/22 passing while his quarterback rating was 121.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 6.9 yards. Lamar Jackson ran the football 11 times for 100 yds, walking away from the contest with 9.1 yards per attempt for Baltimore. Zay Flowers was a featured target for the Ravens, snagging 4 throws for 41 yds (10.3 yds per reception). Baltimore rushed for 5.5 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 229 yards on 42 carries. The Ravens finished the game with a total of 352 yds while they ran 67 plays (5.3 yards per play). The Ravens secondary gave up a completion percentage of 57.6%, surrendering 175 yards on 19 for 33 passing. Baltimore allowed 14 rush attempts for 38 yds (2.7 yards per rush).

Regarding their ability to score points, the Ravens currently sit 4th in the league averaging 28.4 PPG. For the season thus far, the Ravens have a total of 3,635 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 213.8 throwing yards per game, ranking them 21st in football. They have an average of 156.5 rushing yards per game and have run for 2,661 yards overall. The Baltimore Ravens average 370.4 yards per contest which is good for 6th in the league. The Baltimore offense has accrued 955 yards of penalties on 102 violations, which has them ranked 10th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 7 picks while losing 12 fumbles and they have been able to earn 180 1st downs.

The Ravens are conceding 16.5 points per game, which has them ranked 1st of all teams in the league. They have conceded 18 touchdowns through the air and 191.9 yards per contest, which has them ranked 6th in the NFL. Baltimore has conceded a total of 1,860 rushing yards (109.4 yards/game) as well as 6 touchdowns on the ground this season. The Ravens defense has participated in 1,109 plays, which ranks 28th in football. They have earned 31 takeaways (13 fumbles recovered and 18 interceptions) over the course of the season. Overall, they have surrendered 280 total points.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Ravens NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chiefs +3

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