Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 9/22/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the location where the Atlanta Falcons (1-1) will try to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) on Sunday. Atlanta opens this game as 3.5-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 50.

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game with a record of 2-0 for this season. In their last game, the Chiefs stepped onto the field against the Cincinnati Bengals and walked away with a win by a score of 26-25. Patrick Mahomes went 18/25 with 151 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 80.6 and finished the game with 2 picks. Rashee Rice left with an average of 15.0 yards per catch by accounting for 75 yards on 5 receptions. Isiah Pacheco led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 19 carries for 90 yards (4.7 yds per carry). In the game, they tallied 57 plays which converted into 286 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the football 32 different times and had 149 yards, which is an average of 4.7 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Chiefs gave up 74 yds on 22 attempts, which calculates to 3.4 yds per rush allowed. Kansas City gave up 23 pass completions on 36 attempts for 246 yds, and a completion rate of 63.9%.

The Chiefs have racked up 639 yards in total for the year. Kansas City has amassed 22 first downs, and they have been called for 10 penalties for 89 yards. In terms of notching touchdowns, Kansas City has earned 3 passing touchdowns and 2 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 4 different times (3 picks and 1 fumble lost). Offensively they're holding an average of 110.5 yards on the ground which ranks them 19th in the league. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 26.5 points per game.

The Chiefs are ranked 19th in the National Football League in terms of team defense, allowing 22.5 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 4.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 129.5 yards on the ground per game this year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 259 yards via the ground game in 2 contests. Concerning passing yards, the Chiefs have surrendered 513 yards which has them sitting in 31st in the NFL. They have yielded 256.5 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 63.6%. During the season, they have allowed 386.0 yards per game which ranks them 29th in the league. They have conceded 3 touchdowns by air as well as 1 touchdown via the ground game.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 1-1 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Falcons took home the win by a final score of 22-21 when they played the Philadelphia Eagles. Bijan Robinson carried the ball 14 times for 97 yards, finishing the contest with 6.9 yards per carry for Atlanta. Darnell Mooney was featured in the passing game for the Falcons, grabbing 3 passes for 88 yards (29.3 yards per catch). Kirk Cousins (2 TDs) finished the contest with 241 yards on 20/29 through the air while his quarterback rating was 117.2. He didn't toss any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.3 yds. Atlanta surrendered 37 attempts on the ground for 186 yds (5.0 yds per carry). The Falcons secondary allowed a completion percentage of 76.7%, surrendering 179 yards on 23 for 30 through the air. The Falcons finished the contest with a total of 385 yds on 57 plays (6.8 yds per play). Atlanta rushed the football for 5.4 yards per attempt, finishing with 152 yards on 28 carries.

The Atlanta Falcons are averaging 305.5 yards per outing which has them sitting 18th in the NFL. They hold an average of 120.5 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 241 yards overall. The Atlanta offense has racked up 74 yds of penalties on 8 violations, ranking them 29th in football in terms of helping out the other team. For the season to this point, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 370 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 185.0 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 20th in football. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Falcons currently rank 25th out of all teams in football with an average of 16.0 points per outing.

They have allowed the opposition 1 touchdown through the air and 156.0 yards/contest, which has them ranked 7th in the league. Atlanta has given up a total of 323 rushing yards (161.5 yards per outing) as well as 1 touchdown on the ground for the year. They have 1 takeaway over the course of the season. The Falcons defense taken the field for 134 plays, which is 26th in the league. The Falcons are conceding 19.5 points per contest, which has them sitting 10th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +3.5

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