Jacksonville Jaguars vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 9/8/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

Hard Rock Stadium is the location where the Miami Dolphins (11-6 last season) will attempt to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8 last year) on Sunday. Jacksonville opens this contest as 3.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 49.

The Jacksonville Jaguars ended the season with a 9-8 record. When they last took the field, the Jaguars played against the Titans and took a loss by a score of 28-20. Trevor Lawrence went 29/43 with 280 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 81.5 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. Travis Etienne was the leader on the ground for the Jaguars with 16 totes for 57 yds (3.6 yards per attempt). Calvin Ridley had an average of 17.7 yards per reception by accounting for 106 yds on 6 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ended up rushing 23 times and accumulated 82 yards, which had them averaging 3.6 yards per carry. When all was said and done, they ran 66 plays which gave them 362 yards. Jacksonville relinquished 17 pass completions on 27 attempts for a total of 152 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.0%. Against the rush, the Jaguars conceded 175 yards on 26 attempts, which is an average of 6.7 yds per run allowed.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Jacksonville Jaguars averaged 22.2 PPG. As a unit they held an average of 96.8 yards on the ground, which was 24th in the league. The Jaguars earned 5,772 total yards for the prior season. Jacksonville tallied 199 1st downs as a unit, and they were hurt by 83 infractions for 644 yards. They gave the ball to the opposition 30 times (14 picks and 16 fumbles). Jacksonville compiled 22 touchdowns through the air and 17 rushing touchdowns.

Regarding passing yards, the Jaguars gave up 4,076 yards which had them ranked 26th in the NFL. Over the course of their 17 games played, they surrendered 239.8 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 65.5%. They conceded 342.8 yards per outing which put them 22nd in the NFL. Opposing teams ran for an average of 4.2 yards per rushing attempt and 103.1 rushing yards per game last season. Over the course of last year, they allowed 1,752 yards via the running game in 17 games. The Jaguars sat in 17th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, giving up 21.8 points per game.

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The Dolphins wrapped up their year with a 11-6 record. The last time they took the field, the Dolphins took a defeat with a final score of 26-7 against the Chiefs. Tua Tagovailoa (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 199 yds on 20/39 passing while his quarterback rating was 63.9. He had 1 interception and his Y/A was 5.1 yds. Tyreek Hill was featured in the passing game for the Dolphins, bringing in 5 balls for 62 yards (12.4 yards per catch). Raheem Mostert carried the ball 8 times for 33 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.1 yds per carry for Miami. The Dolphins finished the contest with a total of 264 yards while running 59 plays (4.5 yards per play). Miami ran for 4.2 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 76 yds on 18 attempts. Miami gave up 34 running attempts for 147 yards (4.3 yds per carry). The Dolphins passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 56.1%, relinquishing 262 yards on 23 for 41 passing.

The Miami Dolphins averaged 401.3 yards per game which had them ranked 1st in the league. They had an average of 135.8 yards via the ground game and toted the ball for 2,308 yards in total. They tossed 15 picks while losing 10 fumbles and they earned 223 1st downs. The Miami offense had 767 yds of penalties on 97 violations, which ranked 16th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. Last year, the Dolphins threw for a total of 4,514 yards through the air not to mention an average of 265.5 passing yards per contest, which had them ranked 1st in the league. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Dolphins ranked 2nd in the league averaging 29.2 points per game.

The Dolphins gave up 23.0 PPG, which put them in 22nd of all teams in the NFL. They gave up 27 touchdowns through the air and 221.2 yards/outing, which had them ranked 15th in the NFL. Miami gave up a total of 1,650 yards on the ground (97.1 yards per game) as well as 15 touchdowns via the rush last year. The Dolphins defense participated in 1,057 plays, which ranked them 11th in the NFL. They had 27 turnovers (12 fumbles recovered and 15 interceptions) in the previous season. Over the course of the season, they gave up 391 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins -3.5

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