Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 1/5/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Colts (-4.0)

Total-Over-Under: 44.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-12) are hitting the road to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday where they will try to beat the Indianapolis Colts (7-9). Indianapolis opens as 4.0-point favorites. The over-under is set at 44.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars head into this matchup 4-12 for this season. In their last contest, the Jaguars took the field against the Tennessee Titans and took a loss by a final of 19-14. Mac Jones connected on 15-22 with 174 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 122.2 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Brian Thomas had an average of 13.0 yds per reception by accumulating 91 yards on 7 catches. Travis Etienne was the leader on the ground for the Jaguars with 15 carries for 49 yards (3.3 yds per carry). For the game, they tallied 55 plays which totaled 295 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran the rock 33 times and totaled 122 yards, earning them an average of 3.7 yards per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Jaguars conceded 69 yards on 27 attempts, which calculates to 2.6 yds per run surrendered. Jacksonville allowed 24 pass completions on 38 attempts for 245 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.2%.

The Jaguars have earned 4,887 total yards over the course of this year. Jacksonville has tallied 164 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 95 penalties for 730 yds. With reference to scoring, Jacksonville has amassed 18 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 23 different times (14 interceptions and 9 fumbles). As a unit they have an average of 101.0 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 26th in the NFL. Concerning putting points on the board, the Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 18.6 points per game.

The Jaguars are ranked 28th in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, conceding 25.6 PPG. They are allowing 4.4 yards per run and 129.8 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 2,077 running yards through 16 outings. Regarding yards through the air, the Jaguars have surrendered 4,123 yards which ranks them 32nd in football. They have surrendered 257.7 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 67.8%. For the season, they have yielded 387.5 yards per contest which puts them 31st in the National Football League. They have granted 28 touchdowns through the air in addition to 18 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Colts step onto the field holding a record of 7-9 for this season. In their last game, the Colts took home the win by a final score of 38-30 when they played the New York Giants. Joe Flacco (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 330 yards on 26-38 through the air while his QB rating was 90.9. He threw 2 interceptions and his Y-A was 8.7 yds. Michael Pittman Jr. was featured in the passing game for the Colts, snagging 9 balls for 109 yards (12.1 yards per catch). Jonathan Taylor carried the rock 32 times for 125 yards, finishing the contest with 3.9 yds per carry for Indianapolis. The Colts ended up finishing with 446 yards while running 71 plays (6.3 yards per play). Indianapolis rushed the ball for 3.8 yards per tote, finishing with 126 yds on 33 carries. Indianapolis allowed 22 rush attempts for 65 yards (3.0 yards per rush). The Colts passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 67.6%, relinquishing 242 yds on 23 out of 34 through the air.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Colts rank 16th out of all teams in the league averaging 21.9 points per contest. For the season so far, the Colts have compiled 3,109 passing yards as well as holding an average of 194.3 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 26th in the NFL. They average 134.6 yards per game via the rush and have run for 2,154 yards in total. The Indianapolis Colts are averaging 328.9 yards per game which has them ranked 15th in the league. The Indianapolis offense has compiled 669 penalty yds on 90 violations, which has them sitting 30th in football in terms of hurting your team.

The Colts are relinquishing 25.3 PPG, which puts them in 27th in football. They have allowed 26 touchdowns through the air as well as 230.8 yards-outing, which puts them in 26th in the league. Indianapolis has allowed the opposition a total of 2,128 rushing yards (133.0 yards per outing) in addition to 17 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Colts defense taken the field for 1,044 plays, which ranks 28th in football. They have 24 takeaways (9 fumbles and 15 interceptions) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars-Colts NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Colts -4.0

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