Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction, 9/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (-6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Houston Texans (2-1) will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Houston opens this contest as 6.0-point favorites. The betting total is set at 45.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this game with a record of 0-3 for this season. In their last game, the Jaguars went up against the Buffalo Bills and took a loss by a final of 47-10. Trevor Lawrence finished 21/38 with 178 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 65.5 and finished the game with 1 pick. Christian Kirk averaged 9.9 yds per reception by accumulating 79 yards on 8 catches. Travis Etienne was the best rusher for the Jaguars with 11 attempts for 68 yds (6.2 yards per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 63 plays for 239 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars rushed the ball a total of 17 different times and accounted for 92 yds, which came out to an average of 5.4 yds per attempt. Against the run, the Jaguars gave up 122 yards on 29 attempts, which averages out to 4.2 yds per rush allowed. Jacksonville conceded 24 completions on 31 tries for a total of 266 yards, and a completion rate of 77.4%.

The Jaguars have attained 829 total yards for the season. Jacksonville has 27 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 21 infractions for 168 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Jacksonville has amassed 2 touchdowns through the air and 2 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 3 different times (1 pick and 2 fumbles). Offensively they hold an average of 115.7 yards rushing ranking them 16th in the league. Regarding scoring, the Jacksonville Jaguars are averaging 13.3 PPG.

The Jaguars are sitting in 28th in the National Football League concerning team defense, giving up 28.3 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 109.3 rushing yards per game this year. For the season, they have given up 328 yards via the ground game in 3 contests. Concerning yards via the pass, the Jaguars have conceded 757 yards which ranks them 30th in the National Football League. They have conceded 252.3 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 67.6%. In total, they are giving up 361.7 yards per game ranking them 26th in the National Football League. They have yielded 5 touchdowns by air as well as 4 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Texans head into this game 2-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Texans took a defeat with a final score of 34-7 when they faced the Minnesota Vikings. C.J. Stroud (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 215 yds on 20/31 through the air while his quarterback rate was 68.6. He tossed 2 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.9 yds. Cam Akers carried the rock 9 times for 21 yds, ending the game with 2.3 yds per attempt for Houston. Stefon Diggs was the top contributor in the passing game for the Texans, snagging 10 passes for 94 yds (9.4 yds per catch). Houston rushed for 2.7 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 38 yds on 14 attempts. The Texans finished the game with 296 yards while running 58 plays (5.1 yds per play). The Texans pass defense conceded a completion rate of 60.7%, relinquishing 156 yds on 17 for 28 through the air. Houston relinquished 28 rushing attempts for 118 yards (4.2 yards per rush).

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Texans sit 21st out of all teams in the league with an average of 18.3 points per game. For the season so far, the Texans have a total of 697 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 232.3 passing yards per outing, which ranks 8th in the league. They average 108.7 yards per game on the ground and have run for 326 yards for the season. The Houston Texans are averaging 341.0 yards/game which is good for 11th in the league. The Houston offense has accrued 233 penalty yards on 28 infractions, which is 3rd in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team.

They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air in addition to 163.0 yards per game, which puts them in 6th in football. Houston has conceded a total of 293 rushing yards (97.7 yards per contest) in addition to 3 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. Their defense has earned 3 takeaways (0 fumbles and 3 picks) so far this year. The Texans defense taken the field for 169 plays, which is good for 5th in the league. The Texans are allowing 24.7 points per contest, which has them in 23rd of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans -6.0

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