Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 11/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (-13.0)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8) are hitting the road to Ford Field on Sunday where they will meet the Detroit Lions (8-1). Detroit opens this matchup as 13.0-point favorites. The total has been set at 47.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars head into this game 2-8 for this year. When they last took the field, the Jaguars played the Minnesota Vikings and took a loss by a score of 12-7. Mac Jones connected on 14/22 with 111 yds passing. He had a quarterback rate of 38.3 and finished the game with 2 picks. Travis Etienne was the leader on the ground for the Jaguars with 11 carries for 44 yards (4.0 yds per carry). Evan Engram held an average of 6.7 yards per reception by earning 40 yds on 6 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ended up rushing 18 different times and tallied 56 yards, which earned them an average of 3.1 yards per carry. On the day, they ran 40 plays which gave them 143 yards. Jacksonville conceded 24 completions on 38 tries for a total of 233 yards, and a completion rate of 63.2%. In the running game, the Jaguars gave up 169 yards on 43 tries, which averages out to 3.9 yards per rush surrendered.

When it comes to scoring, the Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 20.2 PPG. As a unit they average 107.7 yards on the ground which is 25th in the NFL. The Jaguars have tallied 3,029 total yards over the course of this season. Jacksonville has accounted for 102 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 57 infractions for 405 yards. They have turned the football over 15 different times (8 interceptions and 7 fumbles lost). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Jacksonville has totaled 11 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground.

Regarding passing yardage, the Jaguars have allowed 2,612 yards which ranks them 30th in football. They have conceded 261.2 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 69.9%. They have conceded 19 touchdowns through the air as well as 11 touchdowns on the ground. During the season, they have relinquished 390.6 yards per game which puts them 32nd in football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 129.4 yards on the ground per game this season. The Jaguars sit in 27th in the NFL regarding team defense, allowing 26.4 points per game. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 1,294 rushing yards through 10 outings.

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The Lions come into this game with a record of 8-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Lions got the win with a final of 26-23 when they played the Houston Texans. Jahmyr Gibbs carried the rock 19 times for 71 yards, walking away from the game with 3.7 yards per carry for Detroit. Sam LaPorta was the best receiver for the Lions, catching 3 footballs for 66 yds (22.0 yards per catch). Jared Goff (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 240 yards on 15/30 passing while his QB rate was 59.7. He tossed 5 interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.0 yds. Detroit conceded 28 run attempts for 56 yds (2.0 yards per rush). The Lions secondary gave up a completion percentage of 57.6%, relinquishing 192 yards on 19 out of 33 through the air. The Lions finished with a total of 345 yards on 62 plays (5.6 yards per play). Detroit ran for 3.3 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 105 yards on 32 carries.

The Detroit Lions are averaging 366.9 yards per contest which ranks them 7th in the NFL. They are averaging 147.3 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,326 yards overall. The Detroit offense has compiled 560 yds of penalties on 59 violations, which is 18th in football in terms of helping out the other team. For the year to this point, the Lions have compiled 1,976 passing yards along with an average of 219.6 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 14th out of all NFL teams. In terms of the points being put on the board, the Lions are sitting 2nd in the league averaging 31.6 PPG.

They have yielded 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 244.2 yards/outing, which has them sitting 28th in the NFL. Detroit has allowed a total of 907 yards via the ground game (100.8 yards per outing) and 9 touchdowns on the ground for the year. Their defense has 18 takeaways (5 fumbles and 13 interceptions) so far this season. The Lions defense has participated in 567 plays, which is good for 15th in the league. The Lions are giving up 19.0 points per game, which has them in 8th in football.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jaguars +13.0

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