Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 9/23/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills

Date: Monday, September 23, 2024

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Highmark Stadium is the site where the Buffalo Bills (2-0) will meet the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) on Monday. Jacksonville opens this matchup as 5.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 45.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 0-2 for this year. In their last game, the Jaguars stepped onto the field against the Cleveland Browns and ended up losing by a score of 18-13. Travis Etienne was the rushing leader for the Jaguars with 13 attempts for 52 yards (4.0 yds per carry). Brian Thomas averaged 47.0 yards per reception by totaling 94 yards on 2 receptions. Trevor Lawrence connected on 14/30 with 220 yds passing. He had a QB rating of 71.5 and walked away from the game with no picks. On the ground, the Jaguars gave up 125 yds on 29 attempts, which averages out to 4.3 yds per rush surrendered. Jacksonville allowed 22 completions on 34 attempts for 172 yds, and a completion percentage of 64.7%. On the day, they ran 51 plays which gave them 323 yds. The Jacksonville Jaguars ended up rushing 21 different times and accrued 127 yards, which came out to an average of 6.0 yds per carry.

The Jaguars have attained 590 total yards over the course of this season. Jacksonville has 17 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 14 penalties for 123 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Jacksonville has earned 1 touchdown in the air and 2 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 1 time. As a unit they maintain an average of 127.5 yards on the ground which is 15th in the National Football League. In terms of scoring points, the Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 15.0 points per outing.

The Jaguars rank 9th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 19.0 points per contest. The opposition is running for 3.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 103.0 rushing yards per contest for the season. Overall, they have given up 206 running yards through 2 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Jaguars have allowed 491 yards which has them ranked 30th in the NFL. They have allowed 245.5 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 63.4%. During this campaign, they are allowing 348.5 yards per game which has them ranked 22nd in the National Football League. They have surrendered 1 touchdown via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Bills come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Bills got the win with a final of 31-10 against the Miami Dolphins. James Cook ran the ball 11 times for 78 yards, ending the contest with 7.1 yds per carry for Buffalo. Khalil Shakir was the top contributor in the passing game for the Bills, snagging 5 passes for 54 yards (10.8 yds per catch). Josh Allen (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 139 yards on 13/19 passing while his QB rate was 107.1. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.3 yards. Buffalo surrendered 34 running attempts for 139 yards (4.1 yards per carry). The Bills pass defense conceded a completion rate of 64.1%, surrendering 212 yards on 25 out of 39 through the air. The Bills finished with 247 yards on 45 plays (5.5 yds per play). Buffalo ran for 4.2 yds per carry, finishing with 108 yds on 26 carries.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Bills are ranked 3rd out of all teams in the NFL with an average of 32.5 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Bills have compiled 361 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 180.5 passing yards per contest, ranking them 23rd in the NFL. They maintain an average of 119.0 yards per game via the rush and have run for 238 yards in total. The Buffalo Bills maintain an average of 299.5 yards/outing which has them ranked 21st in football. The Buffalo offense has totaled 70 yds of penalties on 10 violations, which ranks 21st in the NFL in terms of hurting your team.

They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass and 179.0 yards/game, which has them ranked 12th in the league. Buffalo has given up a total of 263 yards rushing (131.5 yards/game) and 1 touchdown via the rush for the season. Their defense has 4 turnovers (1 fumble and 3 interceptions) on the season. The Bills defense has participated in 135 plays, which ranks 28th in the NFL. The Bills are surrendering 19.0 points per contest, which has them sitting 8th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jaguars +5.5

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