Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 8/23/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3 Preseason

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Atlanta Falcons

Date: Friday, August 23, 2024

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: NFL+

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 35.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8 last season) are on their way to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Falcons (7-10 last year). Atlanta opens this matchup as 7.0-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 35.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars ended the season having earned a 9-8 mark. In their last game, the Jaguars faced off with the Browns and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-27. Trevor Lawrence finished 28/50 with 257 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 65.2 and walked away from the contest with 3 interceptions. Travis Etienne was the rushing leader for the Jaguars with 14 attempts for 35 yards (2.5 yards per attempt). Evan Engram left with an average of 8.6 yds per reception by tallying 95 yards on 11 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran the ball a total of 20 different times and compiled 58 yds, which earned them an average of 2.9 yards per attempt. In all, they ran 74 plays which gave them a total of 293 yds. Jacksonville gave up 26 completions on 45 attempts for 307 yards, and a completion rate of 57.8%. On the ground, the Jaguars conceded 82 yards on 28 attempts, which averages out to 2.9 yards per rush surrendered.

When talking about scoring points, the Jacksonville Jaguars had an average of 22.2 points per outing. As a team they held an average of 96.8 yds on the ground, which was 24th in the National Football League. The Jaguars earned 5,772 total yards for the prior season. Jacksonville amassed 199 1st downs, and they were flagged for 83 infractions for 644 yards. They surrendered the football 30 times (14 interceptions and 16 fumbles). Jacksonville compiled 22 passing touchdowns and 17 touchdowns via the ground.

The Jaguars ranked 17th in the National Football League regarding team defense, conceding 21.8 PPG. The opposition ran for an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 103.1 rushing yards per game last year. Overall, they gave up 1,752 rushing yards through 17 outings. When it comes to yards through the air, the Jaguars allowed 4,076 yards which had them ranked 26th in football. In their 17 games played last year, they relinquished 239.8 yards per contest through the air as well as relinquishing a completion percentage of 65.5%. They gave up 342.8 yards per outing which ranked them 22nd in the NFL.

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The Falcons wrapped up their season having earned a 7-10 record. When they last stepped on the football field, the Falcons took a defeat with a final score of 29-25 against the Buccaneers. Desmond Ridder (1 TD) finished the game with 347 yards on 26/40 through the air while his QB rating was 90.3. He had 1 interception and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.7 yards. Drake London was a featured target for the Falcons, catching 10 balls for 172 yds (17.2 yards per catch). Tyler Allgeier carried the ball 9 times for 40 yards, ending the contest with 4.4 yards per attempt for Atlanta. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 434 yards while they ran 69 plays (6.3 yards per play). Atlanta rushed the football for 3.7 yards per carry, finishing the game with 96 yds on 26 attempts. Atlanta conceded 37 running attempts for 148 yds (4.0 yds per rush). The Falcons pass defense conceded a completion rate of 48.3%, relinquishing 142 yards on 14 out of 29 through the air.

The Atlanta Falcons maintained an average of 334.3 yards per contest ranking them 17th out of all teams in the NFL. They maintained an average of 127.0 yards per game via the rush and ran for 2,159 yards for last year. They gave away 17 picks while conceding 11 fumbles and they obtained 181 1st downs. The Atlanta offense totaled 743 penalty yds on 84 violations, ranking them 28th in football in terms of helping out the other team. Throughout last year, the Falcons compiled 3,524 yards via the pass along with an average of 207.3 throwing yards per game, ranking them 22nd out of all NFL teams. Regarding putting points on the board, the Falcons had a ranking of 26th out of all teams in the league with an average of 18.9 PPG.

The Falcons gave up 21.9 points per game, which had them ranked 18th in the league. They surrendered 24 touchdowns from the passing game and 202.9 yards/outing, which had them sitting 8th in the NFL. Atlanta yielded a total of 2,009 yards rushing (118.2 yards per outing) as well as 11 touchdowns on the ground last season. The Falcons defense participated in 1,090 plays, which was good for 22nd in football. They had 16 takeaways (8 fumbles and 8 picks) last year. In total, they gave up 373 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jaguars -7.0

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