Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets Prediction, 11/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Indianapolis Colts (4-6) are hitting the road to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the New York Jets (3-7). Indianapolis opens as 3.5-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 44.

The Indianapolis Colts head into this matchup 4-6 for this season. In their last game, the Colts took the field against the Buffalo Bills and went home with a loss by a final score of 30-20. Joe Flacco connected on 26/35 with 272 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 79.7 and finished the contest with 3 picks. Jonathan Taylor led the offense in rushing for the Colts with 21 attempts for 114 yds (5.4 yds per carry). Alec Pierce had an average of 20.3 yards per catch by earning 81 yards on 4 catches. The Indianapolis Colts rushed the ball a total of 22 different times and totaled 121 yards, earning them an average of 5.5 yds per carry. In the game, they ran 57 plays which converted into 361 yards. Indianapolis gave up 22 completions on 37 attempts for 280 yards, and a completion rate of 59.5%. In the running game, the Colts gave up 135 yds on 31 tries, which calculates to 4.4 yards per rush surrendered.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Indianapolis Colts are sitting at 20.8 PPG. Offensively they are averaging 121.3 yards in the run game ranking this team at 14th in the league. The Colts have earned 3,196 yards in total for the year. Indianapolis has compiled 95 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 55 penalties for 387 yards. They have turned the ball over 17 times (12 picks and 5 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Indianapolis has amassed 13 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns.

The Colts are ranked 16th in the NFL concerning team defense, allowing 22.3 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 148.3 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. In total, they have allowed 1,483 rushing yards through 10 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Colts have given up 2,384 yards which puts them in 28th in the league. They are conceding 238.4 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 68.9%. Overall, they have yielded 386.7 yards/game which ranks them 29th in the NFL. They have given up 14 touchdowns by air as well as 9 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Jets step onto the field holding a record of 3-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Jets took a defeat with a final score of 31-6 when they played the Arizona Cardinals. Aaron Rodgers ended the contest with 151 yards on 22/35 through the air while his quarterback rate was 72.4. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.3 yards. Breece Hall carried the ball 10 times for 52 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.2 yards per carry for New York. Garrett Wilson was the top contributor in the passing game for the Jets, hauling in 5 throws for 41 yds (8.2 yds per catch). New York rushed the ball for 4.6 yards per carry, totaling 79 yards on 17 carries. The Jets finished the game with 207 yards while running 52 plays (4.0 yards per play). The Jets pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 91.7%, relinquishing 259 yards on 22 out of 24 passing. New York conceded 32 rush attempts for 147 yards (4.6 yards per carry).

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Jets rank 26th in the league averaging 17.7 PPG. Over the course of the season so far, the Jets have thrown for a total of 2,117 yards through the air not to mention an average of 211.7 passing yards per outing, which ranks 17th in football. They have an average of 86.8 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 868 yards in total. The New York Jets average 298.5 yards/contest which has them sitting 26th in football. The New York offense has compiled 675 yds of penalties on 75 infractions, ranking them 2nd in the NFL in terms of making mistakes.

The Jets are surrendering 21.4 points per game, which has them sitting 10th of all teams in the league. They have allowed the opposition 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 168.3 yards/outing, which has them ranked 2nd in the NFL. New York has yielded a total of 1,340 rushing yards (134.0 yards per contest) and 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Jets defense has been on the field for 621 plays, which has them sitting 21st in the NFL. They have earned 7 turnovers (5 fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions) on the season.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Colts +3.5

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