Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots Prediction, 12/1/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, December 1, 2024

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+3.0)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

Gillette Stadium is the location where the New England Patriots (3-9) will meet the Indianapolis Colts (5-7) on Sunday. New England opens as 3.0-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 42.5.

The Indianapolis Colts step onto the field holding a record of 5-7 this season. In their last game, the Colts went up against the Detroit Lions and ended up losing by a score of 24-6. Anthony Richardson went 11/28 with 172 yards through the air. He had a QB rating of 60.4 and walked away from the contest without throwing an interception. Michael Pittman Jr. averaged 16.0 yds per reception by totaling 96 yds on 6 receptions. Anthony Richardson led the offense in rushing for the Colts with 10 attempts for 61 yds (6.1 yds per carry). In all, they had 49 plays for 268 yards. The Indianapolis Colts ended up running the ball 21 times and totaled 96 yards, which earned them an average of 4.6 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Colts gave up 137 yards on 33 attempts, which is an average of 4.2 yds per rush surrendered. Indianapolis allowed 26 pass completions on 36 attempts for 253 yards, and a completion rate of 72.2%.

When talking about scoring points, the Indianapolis Colts are sitting at 20.2 points per game. As a unit they're averaging 116.7 yards in the run game which ranks them 17th in the National Football League. The Colts have earned 3,796 yards in total for this campaign. Indianapolis has 115 first downs, and they have committed 70 infractions for 502 yards. They have turned the ball over 18 times (12 picks and 6 fumbles). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Indianapolis has compiled 14 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns.

The Colts rank 16th in the league when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 22.8 points per game. They are giving up 4.4 yards per rush on the ground and 142.6 yards on the ground per contest this season. In total, they have given up 1,711 rushing yards through 12 outings. When talking about yards through the air, the Colts have allowed 2,799 yards which puts them in 28th in the NFL. They have surrendered 233.3 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 69.7%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 375.8 yards per game which has them sitting 28th in the league. They have yielded 16 touchdowns via the pass as well as 13 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Patriots head into this game 3-9 this season. In their last contest, the Patriots took a loss by a final score of 34-15 against the Miami Dolphins. Drake Maye (1 touchdown) ended the game with 222 yds on 22/37 passing while his QB rating was 74.4. He threw 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.0 yards. Demario Douglas was the top contributor in the passing game for the Patriots, bringing in 5 balls for 62 yards (12.4 yards per catch). Antonio Gibson carried the football 6 times for 31 yards, finishing the contest with 5.2 yds per attempt for New England. The Patriots finished the contest with a total of 269 yards while they ran 59 plays (4.6 yards per play). New England ran the ball for 4.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 86 yds on 21 carries. New England conceded 24 run attempts for 65 yards (2.7 yards per rush). The Patriots secondary gave up a completion percentage of 72.5%, relinquishing 308 yards on 29 out of 40 through the air.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Patriots are 31st in the league with 16.4 points per game. During this campaign so far, the Patriots have thrown for a total of 2,008 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 167.3 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 32nd in the league. They have an average of 112.8 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,354 yards in total. The New England Patriots maintain an average of 280.2 yards/contest which ranks them 32nd in the league. The New England offense has racked up 630 yards of penalties on 81 violations, which has them ranked 6th in the league in terms of helping out the other team.

They have surrendered 20 touchdowns from the passing game and 224.4 yards/game, which has them sitting 22nd in the league. New England has given up a total of 1,477 yards on the ground (123.1 yards per contest) and 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. They have totaled 9 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 4 picks) for the year. The Patriots defense has taken part in 746 plays, which ranks 30th in football. The Patriots are giving up 23.5 PPG, which puts them in 19th in football.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Colts -3.0

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