Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 11/3/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings

Date: Sunday, November 3, 2024

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Vikings (-6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Minnesota Vikings (5-2) will try to beat the Indianapolis Colts (4-4) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday. Minnesota opens this contest as 6.0-point favorites. The total is set at 45.

The Indianapolis Colts come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Colts stepped onto the field against the Houston Texans and took a loss by a score of 23-20. Jonathan Taylor was the rushing leader for the Colts with 20 attempts for 105 yards (5.3 yards per carry). Josh Downs held an average of 27.3 yards per reception by totaling 109 yards on 4 catches. Anthony Richardson went 10/32 with 175 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 48.3 and ended the contest with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Colts gave up 96 yards on 29 attempts, which averages out to 3.3 yards per run allowed. Indianapolis gave up 25 completions on 37 tries for 267 yards, and a completion rate of 67.6%. On the day, they tallied 58 plays which converted into 303 yds. The Indianapolis Colts ran the football 26 times and accrued 163 yds, which is an average of 6.3 yards per tote.

The Colts have earned 2,608 total yards this season. Indianapolis has a total of 72 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 43 infractions for 312 yards. In terms of getting in the endzone, Indianapolis has amassed 11 touchdowns through the air and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 11 different times (8 picks and 3 fumbles lost). As a team they hold an average of 128.0 yards via the ground game which is 11th in the National Football League. When talking about scoring points, the Indianapolis Colts are averaging 21.9 points per outing.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Colts have allowed 1,822 yards which has them sitting in 25th in the NFL. They have yielded 227.8 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 68.4%. They have relinquished 11 touchdowns by air in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground. For the season, they are surrendering 379.6 yards per outing putting them 28th in the NFL. They are allowing 4.5 yards per run and 151.9 rushing yards per contest over the course of this year. The Colts are ranked 13th in the league in relation to team defense, allowing 21.5 points per contest. During this campaign, they have given up 1,215 rushing yards through 8 contests.

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The Vikings head into this game 5-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Vikings took a defeat with a final score of 30-20 against the Los Angeles Rams. Sam Darnold (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 240 yds on 18/25 passing while his quarterback rate was 128.7. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 9.6 yds. Aaron Jones ran the ball 19 times for 58 yds, finishing the game with 3.1 yds per carry for Minnesota. Justin Jefferson was a featured target for the Vikings, bringing in 8 throws for 115 yards (14.4 yards per reception). Minnesota ran for 2.9 yds per attempt, finishing with 64 yards on 22 attempts. The Vikings finished the game with 276 yds and they ran 47 plays (5.9 yards per play). The Vikings pass defense allowed a completion rate of 73.5%, relinquishing 279 yds on 25 for 34 passing. Minnesota allowed 32 running attempts for 107 yds (3.3 yds per rush).

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Vikings are 7th in football by tallying 26.9 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Vikings have compiled 1,495 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 213.6 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 17th out of all NFL teams. They maintain an average of 111.4 yards per game via the rush and have run for 780 yards overall. The Minnesota Vikings average 325.0 yards/contest which has them sitting 19th out of all teams in the league. The Minnesota offense has totaled 390 penalty yds on 54 violations, which has them ranked 8th in the league in terms of hurting your team.

The Vikings are allowing 19.6 points per game, which has them in 9th in the league. They have conceded 14 touchdowns via the pass as well as 263.0 yards/game, which has them in 30th out of all teams. Minnesota has surrendered a total of 587 yards rushing (83.9 yards/game) and 3 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Vikings defense taken the field for 465 plays, which is good for 11th in the NFL. Their defense has 15 takeaways (3 fumbles recovered and 12 interceptions) on the season.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Vikings NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Vikings -6.0

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