Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 10/6/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

EverBank Stadium is where the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-4) will attempt to beat the Indianapolis Colts (2-2) on Sunday. Indianapolis opens this game as 2.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 46.5.

The Indianapolis Colts head into this matchup 2-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Colts stepped onto the field against the Pittsburgh Steelers and earned the victory with a final of 27-24. Jonathan Taylor led the offense in rushing for the Colts with 21 totes for 88 yards (4.2 yards per carry). Michael Pittman Jr. averaged 18.8 yds per catch by totaling 113 yards on 6 receptions. Joe Flacco went 16/26 with 168 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 105.9 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Against the run, the Colts conceded 122 yards on 30 attempts, which is an average of 4.1 yds per rush surrendered. Indianapolis allowed 22 pass completions on 34 attempts for a total of 282 yds, and a completion rate of 64.7%. On the day, they tallied 62 plays which gave them a total of 358 yards. The Indianapolis Colts rushed the ball a total of 32 times and had 133 yards, earning them an average of 4.2 yards per carry.

The Colts have tallied 1,305 total yards for the season. Indianapolis has a total of 31 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 20 penalties for 156 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Indianapolis has earned 5 touchdowns through the air and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 6 different times (6 picks and 0 fumbles lost). As a team they're averaging 131.8 yards in the run game which has them sitting 9th in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Indianapolis Colts hold an average of 21.3 points per game.

In terms of passing yards, the Colts have surrendered 940 yards which has them ranked 26th in the NFL. They are conceding 235.0 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 68.9%. They have granted 6 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns running the ball. In total, they are conceding 399.8 yards/game which puts them 32nd in the National Football League. The opposition is running for 4.4 yards per rush and 164.8 rushing yards per game for the season. The Colts sit in 16th in the National Football League in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 21.3 PPG. Overall, they have allowed 659 yards via the ground game in 4 games.

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The Jaguars come into this game with a record of 0-4 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Jaguars went home defeated by a final of 24-20 against the Houston Texans. Trevor Lawrence (2 TDs) finished the contest with 169 yards on 18/33 passing while his QB rate was 89.1. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.1 yards. Brian Thomas was featured in the passing game for the Jaguars, grabbing 6 balls for 86 yards (14.3 yds per catch). Tank Bigsby ran the football 7 times for 90 yards, ending the contest with 12.9 yards per carry for Jacksonville. The Jaguars finished the contest with a total of 313 yds on 57 plays (5.5 yards per play). Jacksonville ended up running for 6.6 yds per attempt, totaling 158 yds on 24 carries. Jacksonville surrendered 26 run attempts for 101 yards (3.9 yards per carry). The Jaguars passing defense conceded a completion rate of 67.5%, relinquishing 334 yds on 27 out of 40 passing.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are averaging 285.5 yards per contest which has them ranked 25th in the NFL. They have an average of 126.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 505 yards overall. The Jacksonville offense has compiled 213 yds of penalties on 27 infractions, which has them sitting 16th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. During the season to this point, the Jaguars have compiled 637 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 159.3 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 28th in the NFL. When looking at putting points on the board, the Jaguars are 30th in the league with an average of 15.0 points per game.

They have surrendered 7 touchdowns via the pass and 272.8 yards/game, which puts them in 31st in the league. Jacksonville has conceded a total of 429 yards via the ground game (107.3 yards per game) and 5 touchdowns on the ground for the season. They have earned 1 turnover (1 fumble and 0 interceptions) on the season. The Jaguars defense has participated in 258 plays, which is good for 28th in the league. The Jaguars are surrendering 27.3 points per game, which has them sitting 30th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jaguars -2.5

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