Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 12/15/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-4.0)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Denver Broncos (8-5) are hosting the Indianapolis Colts (6-7) at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday. Denver opens this matchup as 4.0-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 44.

The Indianapolis Colts head into this matchup 6-7 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Colts faced off with the New England Patriots and notched a win by a score of 25-24. Anthony Richardson connected on 12/24 with 109 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 55.7 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. Michael Pittman Jr. averaged 8.4 yards per catch by recording 42 yds on 5 catches. Jonathan Taylor was the rushing leader for the Colts with 25 carries for 96 yds (3.8 yards per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 58 plays which gave them a total of 253 yards. The Indianapolis Colts ran the rock 34 times and tallied 144 yds, which earned them an average of 4.2 yards per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Colts conceded 200 yds on 31 attempts, which calculates to 6.5 yards per run allowed. Indianapolis surrendered 24 pass completions on 30 tries for 222 yds, and a completion rate of 80.0%.

The Colts have tallied 4,049 total yards this year. Indianapolis has compiled 120 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 72 infractions for 517 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Indianapolis has totaled 16 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 20 different times (14 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). Offensively they hold an average of 118.8 yards rushing which has them sitting 14th in the NFL. Concerning scoring, the Indianapolis Colts hold an average of 20.5 points per outing.

When talking about yards through the air, the Colts have surrendered 3,021 yards which ranks them 26th in the NFL. They are giving up 232.4 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 70.4%. They have relinquished 17 touchdowns via the pass and 14 touchdowns running the ball. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 379.4 yards/game which ranks them 29th in the NFL. The opposition is running for 4.6 yards per rush and 147.0 rushing yards per game for the year. The Colts sit in 18th in the NFL concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 22.9 points per game. For the year, they have conceded 1,911 rushing yards through 13 games.

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The Broncos head into this matchup 8-5 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos got the victory with a final of 41-32 against the Cleveland Browns. Bo Nix (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 294 yds on 18/35 through the air while his QB rate was 65.7. He threw 2 picks and his Y/A was 8.4 yards. Marvin Mims was a featured target for the Broncos, catching 3 passes for 105 yards (35.0 yds per reception). Jaleel McLaughlin carried the rock 14 times for 84 yards, finishing the contest with 6.0 yards per carry for Denver. The Broncos finished with a total of 400 yds and they ran 61 plays (6.6 yards per play). Denver ran for 4.1 yards per attempt, finishing with 106 yds on 26 attempts. Denver relinquished 23 run attempts for 77 yards (3.3 yards per rush). The Broncos passing defense gave up a completion rate of 58.6%, relinquishing 475 yards on 34 for 58 through the air.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Broncos currently sit 14th out of all teams in the NFL averaging 23.5 points per outing. Over the course of the season to this point, the Broncos have a total of 2,717 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 209.0 passing yards per outing, which ranks 21st in the league. They maintain an average of 111.2 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,445 yards for this season. The Denver Broncos have an average of 320.2 yards per game which has them ranked 21st in football. The Denver offense has racked up 746 yds of penalties on 83 violations, which ranks 13th in football in terms of helping out the other team.

The Broncos are allowing 18.0 points per game, which has them in 4th in the league. They have surrendered 17 touchdowns through the air and 221.0 yards/outing, which has them sitting 19th in the NFL. Denver has surrendered a total of 1,231 yards via the ground game (94.7 yards per outing) in addition to 6 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 843 plays, ranking them 28th in the league. Their defense has compiled 18 turnovers (6 fumbles and 12 picks) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos -4.0

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