Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Prediction, 1/5/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025

Location: Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Titans (-4.0)

Total-Over-Under: 36.5

Nissan Stadium is the site where the Tennessee Titans (3-13) will compete against the Houston Texans (9-7) on Sunday. Tennessee opens this matchup as 4.0-point favorites. The total comes in at 36.5.

The Houston Texans head into this matchup 9-7 for this season. In their last game, the Texans stepped onto the field against the Baltimore Ravens and went home with a loss by a final score of 27-19. C.J. Stroud finished 17-31 with 185 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 59.2 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. Joe Mixon was the rushing leader for the Texans with 9 carries for 26 yds (2.9 yds per carry). John Metchie averaged 9.6 yards per reception by accumulating 48 yds on 5 receptions. The Houston Texans rushed the ball a total of 17 times and compiled 58 yds, which earned them an average of 3.4 yards per attempt. When all was said and done, they had 49 plays which converted into 211 yards. Houston conceded 28 pass completions on 41 tries for a total of 251 yds, and a completion rate of 68.3%. Against the rush, the Texans gave up 124 yds on 28 attempts, which averages out to 4.4 yards per run allowed.

The Texans have earned 5,061 total yards this year. Houston has accounted for 189 1st downs, and they have committed 113 infractions for 933 yards. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Houston has earned 19 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 18 different times (12 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). As a team they maintain an average of 106.4 yards rushing which is 21st in the NFL. Concerning scoring points, the Houston Texans are averaging 21.8 points per outing.

The Texans are ranked 16th in the NFL in terms of team defense, conceding 22.4 PPG. They are allowing an average of 4.5 yards per tote and 115.8 yards on the ground per game for the season. In total, they have conceded 1,853 rushing yards through 16 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Texans have allowed 3,188 yards which puts them in 6th in the NFL. They have allowed 199.3 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 58.7%. For the year, they are allowing 315.1 yards per game ranking them 7th in the NFL. They have yielded 30 touchdowns via the pass as well as 11 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Titans head into this game 3-13 for this year. In their last contest, the Titans took a defeat with a final score of 38-30 when they played the Jacksonville Jaguars. Mason Rudolph (1 TD) finished the game with 193 yds on 19-31 through the air while his quarterback rate was 76.4. He threw 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 6.2 yds. Chigoziem Okonkwo was featured in the passing game for the Titans, hauling in 5 throws for 42 yards (8.4 yds per catch). Tyjae Spears ran the football 20 times for 95 yards, ending the contest with 4.8 yds per attempt for Tennessee. The Titans finished the contest with 337 yds while running 61 plays (5.5 yards per play). Tennessee rushed the ball for 5.3 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 159 yards on 30 attempts. Tennessee allowed 50 attempts on the ground for 335 yards (6.7 yards per rush). The Titans pass defense allowed a completion rate of 63.6%, relinquishing 123 yds on 7 for 11 passing.

The Tennessee Titans are averaging 303.6 yards per game which ranks them 28th out of all teams in the NFL. They hold an average of 110.6 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,770 yards for the year. The Tennessee offense has accrued 962 yds of penalties on 125 infractions, ranking them 2nd in football in terms of helping out the opposition. During the season so far, the Titans have thrown for a total of 3,088 passing yards as well as an average of 193.0 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 28th out of all NFL teams. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Titans sit 25th in football averaging 18.6 points per game.

They have surrendered 26 touchdowns through the air and 177.9 yards per outing, which has them ranked 2nd in football. Tennessee has yielded a total of 2,070 yards via the ground game (129.4 yards-game) as well as 20 touchdowns rushing this season. Their defense has 17 takeaways (6 fumbles and 11 interceptions) for the year. The Titans defense taken the field for 950 plays, which ranks 4th in football. The Titans are surrendering 27.3 PPG, ranking them 30th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Titans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Titans -4.0

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