Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/13/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Houston Texans at New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 37.5

Gillette Stadium is the location where the New England Patriots (1-4) will compete against the Houston Texans (4-1) on Sunday. New England opens this game as 7.0-point underdogs. The total is set at 37.5.

The Houston Texans come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 this season. In their last game, the Texans faced the Buffalo Bills and notched a win by a score of 23-20. C.J. Stroud finished 28/38 with 331 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 97.6 and ended the game with 1 interception. Stefon Diggs had an average of 13.7 yds per reception by tallying 82 yds on 6 receptions. Cam Akers led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 9 carries for 42 yards (4.7 yards per attempt). Overall, they ran 66 plays for 425 yds. The Houston Texans ended up rushing 28 times and amassed 94 yds, earning them an average of 3.4 yds per attempt. Against the rush, the Texans conceded 150 yards on 28 tries, which is an average of 5.4 yards per run surrendered. Houston gave up 9 pass completions on 30 attempts for a total of 126 yards, and a completion rate of 30.0%.

Regarding scoring points, the Houston Texans hold an average of 20.4 points per game. As a unit they maintain an average of 104.2 yards in the run game ranking them 23rd in the NFL. The Texans have racked up 1,883 yards in total this season. Houston has earned 73 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 47 penalties for 391 yds. They have turned the football over 6 times (3 picks and 3 fumbles). When it comes to scoring, Houston has earned 7 passing touchdowns and 3 touchdowns via the ground.

The Texans are sitting in 17th in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 22.8 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.8 yards per tote and 120.2 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. For the year, they have allowed 601 running yards through 5 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Texans have conceded 770 yards which ranks them 4th in football. They are conceding 154.0 yards per game via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 51.7%. Overall, they are allowing 274.2 yards per outing which has them ranked 4th in the NFL. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns by air as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground.

Get all of our NFL Picks this Week

The Patriots head into this matchup 1-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Patriots walked away with a loss by a score of 15-10 when they played the Miami Dolphins. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the rock 12 times for 89 yds, walking away from the contest with 7.4 yds per attempt for New England. Demario Douglas had the best day in terms of receiving for the Patriots, catching 6 balls for 59 yds (9.8 yds per catch). Jacoby Brissett ended the game with 160 yds on 18/34 through the air while his quarterback rating was 65.8. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 4.7 yards. New England gave up 41 rushing attempts for 193 yds (4.7 yds per rush). The Patriots pass defense allowed a completion rate of 58.1%, relinquishing 179 yards on 18 for 31 through the air. The Patriots finished the contest with 299 yards while they ran 53 plays (5.6 yards per play). New England ran the football for 7.9 yds per carry, finishing with 151 yards on 19 attempts.

The New England Patriots hold an average of 250.8 yards per outing which has them ranked 31st in the league. They hold an average of 131.4 yards per game on the ground and have run for 657 yards for the year. The New England offense has totaled 277 yds of penalties on 28 violations, which is good for 22nd in the league in terms of helping out the other team. Over the course of the season so far, the Patriots have thrown for 597 yards via the pass as well as an average of 119.4 throwing yards per contest, which has them sitting 32nd in the NFL. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Patriots rank 31st out of all teams in the NFL maintaining an average of 12.4 points per outing.

The Patriots are relinquishing 20.4 PPG, which has them ranked 9th in football. They have yielded 4 touchdowns through the air and 239.0 yards per outing, ranking them 25th in football. New England has given up a total of 590 yards via the ground game (118.0 yards per game) as well as 5 touchdowns via the rush this season. The Patriots defense taken the field for 319 plays, which ranks them 24th in football. Their defense has compiled 6 turnovers (4 fumbles and 2 interceptions) this season.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Texans -7.0

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here