Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 12/21/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Chiefs (+2.0)

Total-Over-Under: 40

Arrowhead Stadium is where the Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) will go up against the Houston Texans (9-5) on Saturday. Kansas City opens as 2.0-point underdogs. The over-under is set at 40.

The Houston Texans step onto the field holding a record of 9-5 for this year. In their last contest, the Texans went up against the Miami Dolphins and took home the win by a score of 20-12. Dare Ogunbowale was the rushing leader for the Texans with 1 carries for 35 yards (35.0 yards per carry). Joe Mixon had an average of 6.6 yds per catch by earning 33 yards on 5 receptions. C.J. Stroud went 18-26 with 131 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 106.4 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. On the ground, the Texans conceded 52 yds on 19 attempts, which calculates to 2.7 yds per rush allowed. Houston allowed 29 completions on 40 tries for 172 yards, and a completion percentage of 72.5%. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 46 plays which totaled 181 yards. The Houston Texans ran the football 20 different times and totaled 77 yards, which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per carry.

The Texans have racked up 4,539 total yards over the course of this season. Houston has compiled 167 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 102 penalties for 839 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Houston has compiled 17 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 15 times (9 picks and 6 fumbles). As a team they maintain an average of 111.4 yards rushing ranking them 17th in the NFL. When talking about putting points on the board, the Houston Texans hold an average of 23.4 PPG.

Concerning passing yardage, the Texans have given up 2,756 yards which ranks them 6th in the league. They have surrendered 196.9 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 57.7%. They have yielded 27 touchdowns by air as well as 7 touchdowns running the ball. Overall, they are conceding 302.4 yards per contest which puts them 4th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per running attempt and 105.6 rushing yards per contest for the year. The Texans are ranked 9th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 21.4 PPG. In total, they have conceded 1,478 rushing yards through 14 games.

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The Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 13-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chiefs walked away with a victory by a final of 21-7 when they faced the Cleveland Browns. Patrick Mahomes (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 159 yds on 19-38 through the air while his quarterback rating was 78.7. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.2 yds. Kareem Hunt ran the ball 13 times for 45 yards, ending the contest with 3.5 yards per attempt for Kansas City. Xavier Worthy was the top contributor in the passing game for the Chiefs, bringing in 6 balls for 46 yards (7.7 yds per reception). Kansas City ran the ball for 3.8 yards per tote, finishing with 132 yds on 35 carries. The Chiefs finished the game with 311 yards and they ran 75 plays (4.1 yards per play). The Chiefs pass defense allowed a completion rate of 58.8%, relinquishing 127 yards on 20 out of 34 passing. Kansas City surrendered 21 rushing attempts for 139 yds (6.6 yards per rush).

The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 336.3 yards per contest which has them sitting 14th in the league. They average 112.1 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,570 yards for this year. The Kansas City offense has totaled 704 yards of penalties on 80 infractions, which ranks them 28th in the league in terms of making mistakes. Over the course of the season so far, the Chiefs have thrown for a total of 3,138 passing yards along with an average of 224.1 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 13th in the league. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Chiefs rank 12th out of all teams in the league holding an average of 23.5 PPG.

They have surrendered 18 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 215.0 yards-outing, which has them ranked 14th in the league. Kansas City has given up a total of 1,287 yards on the ground (91.9 yards per game) in addition to 11 touchdowns on the ground for the season. They have tallied 16 takeaways (6 fumbles and 10 interceptions) so far this season. The Chiefs defense has participated in 823 plays, which ranks them 3rd in the league. The Chiefs are conceding 18.5 PPG, which has them ranked 5th in football.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs +2.0

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