Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 12/1/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, December 1, 2024

Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) are welcoming the Houston Texans (7-5) at EverBank Stadium on Sunday. Houston is 4.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 43.5.

The Houston Texans head into this game 7-5 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans went up against the Tennessee Titans and ended up losing by a score of 32-27. Joe Mixon led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 14 carries for 22 yds (1.6 yds per carry). Nico Collins had an average of 18.4 yds per catch by recording 92 yds on 5 receptions. C.J. Stroud went 20/33 with 247 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 78.7 and finished the game with 2 picks. Against the rush, the Texans gave up 132 yards on 33 tries, which is an average of 4.0 yards per run allowed. Houston surrendered 18 pass completions on 25 attempts for a total of 237 yards, and a completion rate of 72.0%. In the game, they ran 50 plays which converted into 260 yds. The Houston Texans ended up running the ball 17 different times and totaled 40 yards, earning them an average of 2.4 yards per attempt.

The Texans currently have 4,032 total yards this season. Houston has 149 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 92 penalties for 754 yards. When it comes to scoring, Houston has totaled 14 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 14 different times (9 picks and 5 fumbles). As a unit they hold an average of 114.6 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 20th in the National Football League. Regarding putting points on the board, the Houston Texans are averaging 23.8 points per outing.

When talking about yards through the air, the Texans have surrendered 2,308 yards which puts them in 12th in the league. They are giving up 192.3 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 56.2%. They have yielded 24 touchdowns by air and 7 touchdowns via the ground game. In total, they are conceding 303.1 yards per contest which has them ranked 5th in the National Football League. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush on the ground and 110.8 yards on the ground per contest this year. The Texans sit in 15th in the league regarding team defense, allowing 22.3 points per contest. For the season, they have given up 1,329 running yards through 12 games.

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The Jaguars head into this game 2-9 for this season. In their last game, the Jaguars took a loss by a final score of 52-6 when they faced the Detroit Lions. Travis Etienne carried the football 12 times for 27 yards, ending the contest with 2.3 yds per carry for Jacksonville. Brian Thomas was the best receiver for the Jaguars, catching 5 throws for 82 yards (16.4 yards per catch). Mac Jones walked away from the contest with 138 yards on 17/29 passing while his QB rating was 56.4. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.8 yards. Jacksonville gave up 43 attempts on the ground for 196 yards (4.6 yds per rush). The Jaguars secondary gave up a completion rate of 81.8%, surrendering 449 yds on 27 for 33 passing. The Jaguars finished the contest with a total of 170 yards and they ran 46 plays (3.7 yds per play). Jacksonville ended up running for 2.4 yards per tote, totaling 41 yards on 17 carries.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Jaguars rank 25th out of all teams in the league averaging 18.9 points per game. Over the course of the season so far, the Jaguars have racked up 2,081 yards through the air as well as an average of 189.2 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 27th in the league. They hold an average of 101.6 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,118 yards for this year. The Jacksonville Jaguars maintain an average of 290.8 yards per game ranking them 30th in football. The Jacksonville offense has 445 yards of penalties on 63 infractions, which has them ranked 26th in the league in terms of hurting your team.

They have conceded 23 touchdowns through the air as well as 278.3 yards/game, which has them in 31st in the league. Jacksonville has allowed a total of 1,490 yards via the ground game (135.5 yards/game) and 14 touchdowns rushing this season. Their defense has totaled 8 turnovers (3 fumbles and 5 picks) on the year. The Jaguars defense has been on the field for 740 plays, which ranks 29th in the league. The Jaguars are conceding 28.7 points per contest, which has them sitting 30th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Texans -4.5

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