Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 9/8/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (+2.0)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The Houston Texans (10-7 last season) are headed to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the Indianapolis Colts (9-8 last year). Indianapolis opens this contest as 2.0-point underdogs. The over/under is 49.

The Houston Texans wrapped up their season holding a 10-7 mark. The last time they took the field, the Texans took the field against the Ravens and ended up losing by a score of 34-10. C.J. Stroud connected on 19/33 with 175 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 72.2 and walked away from the contest without throwing an interception. Nico Collins held an average of 13.6 yards per catch by notching 68 yds on 5 receptions. Devin Singletary was the leader on the ground for the Texans with 9 attempts for 22 yards (2.4 yds per attempt). In all, they had 47 plays which converted into 213 yds. The Houston Texans ended up rushing 14 times and accounted for 38 yds, which had them averaging 2.7 yards per carry. Against the run, the Texans conceded 229 yards on 42 attempts, which is an average of 5.5 yards per run surrendered. Houston gave up 16 completions on 22 attempts for 123 yards, and a completion rate of 72.7%.

The Texans racked up 5,820 yards in total for the prior year. Houston tallied 215 1st downs, and they committed 114 infractions for 937 yards. Houston compiled 27 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns on the ground. They gave the ball to the opposition 14 times (8 picks and 6 fumbles lost). Offensively they averaged 96.9 yds on the ground, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. Concerning putting points on the board, the Houston Texans averaged 22.2 PPG.

When it comes to passing yards, the Texans gave up 3,979 yards which had them ranked 23rd in the league. During their 17 games played, they conceded 234.1 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.6%. They gave up 330.7 yards per contest which put them 14th in the National Football League. The opposition ran for an average of 3.5 yards per run and 96.6 rushing yards per game last year. Overall, they conceded 1,643 yards via the ground game in 17 games. The Texans were ranked 11th in the NFL in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 20.8 points per game.

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The Colts wrapped up their season holding a 9-8 record. In their last game, the Colts went home defeated by a final of 23-19 when they faced the Texans. Gardner Minshew II ended the game with 141 yards on 13/24 through the air while his quarterback rate was 71.7. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 5.9 yards. Josh Downs was a featured target for the Colts, hauling in 3 balls for 48 yds (16.0 yds per reception). Jonathan Taylor ran the ball 30 times for 188 yds, finishing the game with 6.3 yds per carry for Indianapolis. The Colts finished the game with a total of 360 yds and they ran 62 plays (5.8 yds per play). Indianapolis rushed the football for 6.1 yards per tote, finishing the game with 227 yds on 37 carries. Indianapolis gave up 28 run attempts for 60 yds (2.1 yards per rush). The Colts passing defense allowed a completion rate of 76.9%, relinquishing 246 yds on 20 out of 26 passing.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Colts earned a ranking of 10th in the NFL by scoring 23.3 points per contest. Throughout last year, the Colts threw for a total of 3,666 yards through the air as well as averaging 215.6 throwing yards per contest, which ranked 20th in the NFL. They had an average of 121.1 yards per game on the ground and ran for 2,059 yards overall. The Indianapolis Colts held an average of 336.8 yards per outing which had them sitting 15th out of all teams in the NFL. The Indianapolis offense had 685 penalty yds on 95 infractions, which had them ranked 21st in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. They gave away 10 interceptions while surrendering 12 fumbles and they tallied 178 1st downs.

They yielded 21 touchdowns through the air in addition to 226.0 yards per contest, which had them ranked 16th in the league. Indianapolis gave up a total of 2,105 yards rushing (123.8 yards per outing) and 22 touchdowns by ground last year. Over the course of the season, they conceded 415 points in total. They had 24 takeaways (9 fumbles recovered and 15 picks) last season. The Colts defense was on the field for 1,137 plays, which had them sitting 31st in the league. The Colts gave up 24.4 points per contest, which had them sitting 28th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Texans -2.0

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