Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 1/6/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Saturday, January 6, 2024

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 47

The Indianapolis Colts (9-7) will compete against the Houston Texans (9-7) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday. Houston opens this contest as 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 47.

The Houston Texans head into this game 9-7 this season. When they last took the field, the Texans faced the Titans and earned the victory with a final of 26-3. C.J. Stroud finished 24/32 with 213 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 102.7 and walked away from the contest with no interceptions. Nico Collins held an average of 11.4 yds per catch by notching 80 yds on 7 catches. Devin Singletary was the leader on the ground for the Texans with 16 attempts for 80 yds (5.0 yds per carry). In all, they tallied 61 plays which gave them 312 yds. The Houston Texans ran the football 28 times and accumulated 111 yards, which came out to an average of 4.0 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Texans conceded 53 yards on 21 attempts, which averages out to 2.5 yds per run allowed. Houston allowed 18 completions on 26 tries for 134 yds, and a completion rate of 69.2%.

Concerning scoring, the Houston Texans are averaging 22.1 PPG. Offensively they're holding an average of 99.2 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 22nd in the league. The Texans have attained 5,514 total yards this year. Houston has accrued 205 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 103 penalties for 868 yds. They have surrendered the football 14 times (8 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Houston has earned 25 touchdowns through the air and 9 rushing touchdowns.

The Texans rank 13th in the NFL concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 20.9 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.3 yards per rush on the ground and 88.5 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 1,416 rushing yards through 16 games. In terms of passing yards, the Texans have surrendered 3,846 yards which puts them in 25th in the NFL. They are giving up 240.4 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 68.2%. In total, they are conceding 328.9 yards per game putting them 14th in football.

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The Colts head into this matchup 9-7 for this year. When they last took the field, the Colts walked away with a victory by a final of 23-20 against the Raiders. Gardner Minshew II (1 TD) finished the contest with 224 yards on 15/23 through the air while his quarterback rate was 111.5. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.7 yds. Alec Pierce was one of the featured targets for the Colts, bringing in 1 balls for 58 yards (58.0 yards per reception). Jonathan Taylor carried the football 21 times for 96 yards, walking away from the game with 4.6 yards per carry for Indianapolis. The Colts finished with a total of 349 yards while they ran 53 plays (6.6 yds per play). Indianapolis ran the ball for 4.6 yards per carry, finishing the game with 134 yds on 29 attempts. Indianapolis conceded 25 run attempts for 84 yds (3.4 yards per rush). The Colts pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 63.8%, relinquishing 286 yds on 30 out of 47 through the air.

The Indianapolis Colts have an average of 335.3 yards/outing which is good for 15th out of all teams in the NFL. They are averaging 114.5 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,832 yards in total. They have tossed 10 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 11 fumbles and they have been able to record 172 first downs. The Indianapolis offense has compiled 671 yards of penalties on 92 violations, which is 21st in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. For the year to this point, the Colts have compiled 3,533 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 220.8 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 20th out of all NFL teams. When discussing this team's ability to score points, the Colts are ranked 10th out of all teams in football with an average of 23.6 points per contest.

The Colts are conceding 24.5 PPG, which has them in 27th in the NFL. They have conceded 19 touchdowns through the air as well as 224.8 yards per game, which has them sitting 17th in the league. Indianapolis has given up a total of 2,045 yards via the ground game (127.8 yards per game) in addition to 21 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Colts defense taken the field for 1,081 plays, which ranks 32nd in the NFL. They have 24 turnovers (9 fumbles and 15 interceptions) for the season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 392 total points.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans -1

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