Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, 11/18/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys

Date: Monday, November 18, 2024

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Cowboys (+7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42

The Dallas Cowboys (3-6) will try to defeat the Houston Texans (6-4) at AT&T Stadium on Monday. Dallas opens this matchup as 7.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 42.

The Houston Texans head into this matchup 6-4 this year. In their last game, the Texans faced the Detroit Lions and took a loss by a final of 26-23. C.J. Stroud finished 19/33 with 232 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 64.2 and finished the game with 2 interceptions. John Metchie held an average of 14.8 yds per catch by accumulating 74 yards on 5 receptions. Joe Mixon was the rushing leader for the Texans with 25 totes for 46 yds (1.8 yards per carry). At the end of the game, they tallied 61 plays for 248 yds. The Houston Texans ran the rock 28 different times and amassed 56 yds, earning them an average of 2.0 yards per tote. Against the rush, the Texans gave up 105 yards on 32 tries, which calculates to 3.3 yds per run allowed. Houston conceded 15 pass completions on 30 attempts for a total of 240 yds, and a completion percentage of 50.0%.

The Texans have earned 3,381 total yards this season. Houston has a total of 125 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 72 penalties for 604 yards. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Houston has compiled 12 touchdowns via the pass and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 11 different times (6 picks and 5 fumbles lost). Offensively they maintain an average of 119.4 yards on the ground ranking them 18th in the league. Concerning putting points on the board, the Houston Texans hold an average of 22.4 PPG.

The Texans are sitting in 19th in the league in relation to team defense, giving up 22.6 PPG. The opposition is running for 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 113.3 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,133 rushing yards through 10 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Texans have given up 1,747 yards which has them sitting in 7th in the league. They are conceding 174.7 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 54.4%. Over the course of this season, they are allowing 288.0 yards per game which has them sitting 3rd in the NFL. They have granted 21 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Cowboys head into this game 3-6 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Cowboys went home defeated by a final of 34-6 when they played the Philadelphia Eagles. Cooper Rush ended the contest with 45 yds on 13/23 passing while his quarterback rate was 61.7. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his Y/A was 2.0 yards. Rico Dowdle ran the football 12 times for 53 yds, finishing the game with 4.4 yds per carry for Dallas. Jake Ferguson was a featured target for the Cowboys, bringing in 4 passes for 24 yards (6.0 yds per reception). Dallas ran the ball for 4.0 yards per carry, finishing with 97 yds on 24 carries. The Cowboys ended up finishing with 146 yards while they ran 53 plays (2.8 yards per play). The Cowboys pass defense conceded a completion rate of 68.2%, surrendering 161 yds on 15 for 22 passing. Dallas allowed 38 rush attempts for 187 yds (4.9 yds per rush).

When it comes to how much they score, the Cowboys rank 23rd out of all teams in football holding an average of 19.7 points per game. During the season thus far, the Cowboys currently sit at 2,082 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 231.3 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 10th in the league. They hold an average of 83.7 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 753 yards for this year. The Dallas Cowboys hold an average of 315.0 yards/game which has them sitting 21st in football. The Dallas offense has 486 yards of penalties on 67 infractions, which is 10th in football in terms of giving up free yards.

They have yielded 15 touchdowns through the air as well as 210.8 yards/outing, which has them sitting 17th out of all teams. Dallas has given up a total of 1,369 rushing yards (152.1 yards per game) as well as 15 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have earned 8 turnovers (3 fumbles recovered and 5 picks) this year. The Cowboys defense taken the field for 559 plays, which ranks 14th in football. The Cowboys are allowing 28.8 points per game, ranking them 31st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Cowboys NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cowboys +7.5

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