Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, 1/20/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Divisional Round

Game: Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

Date: Saturday, January 20, 2024

Location: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Ravens (-9)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

The Baltimore Ravens (13-4) welcome the Houston Texans (11-7) at M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday in an AFC Divisional Playoff matchup. Houston opens this matchup as 9-point dogs. The total is 44.5.

The Houston Texans head into this game 11-7 for this season. In their AFC Wildcard game, the Texans faced the Browns and earned the victory with a final of 45-14. C.J. Stroud went 16/21 with 274 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 157.2 and ended the game with no picks. Nico Collins averaged 16.0 yards per catch by totaling 96 yds on 6 receptions. Devin Singletary was the rushing leader for the Texans with 13 carries for 66 yds (5.1 yards per attempt). When the final whistle blew, they ran 44 plays which gave them a total of 356 yds. The Houston Texans ended up rushing 22 times and compiled 76 yds, which is an average of 3.5 yds per attempt. Against the rush, the Texans conceded 56 yds on 20 tries, which calculates to 2.8 yards per rush allowed. Houston allowed 34 completions on 46 tries for a total of 268 yards, and a completion rate of 73.9%.

The Texans have racked up 5,820 total yards this season. Houston has recorded 215 1st downs, and they have committed 114 penalties for 937 yds. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Houston has compiled 27 touchdowns through the air and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 14 times (8 interceptions and 6 fumbles). Offensively they average 96.9 yards in the run game which ranks them 22nd in the league. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Houston Texans hold an average of 22.2 PPG.

In terms of yards through the air, the Texans have given up 3,979 yards which ranks them 23rd in football. They have conceded 234.1 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 67.6%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 330.7 yards per game putting them 14th in the National Football League. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.5 yards per rush and 96.6 yards on the ground per game this season. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,643 running yards through 17 contests. The Texans are sitting in 11th in the league concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 20.8 points per game.

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The Ravens step onto the field holding a record of 13-4 for this season. When they last took the field, the Ravens walked away with a loss by a score of 17-10 when they faced the Steelers. Tyler Huntley (1 TD) ended the game with 146 yds on 15/28 through the air while his quarterback rate was 80.4. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 5.2 yards. Nelson Agholor was featured in the passing game for the Ravens, catching 5 passes for 39 yds (7.8 yds per reception). Gus Edwards ran the ball 10 times for 48 yards, walking away from the game with 4.8 yards per carry for Baltimore. The Ravens finished the game with 224 yards on 57 plays (3.9 yards per play). Baltimore ran for 4.2 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 106 yards on 25 attempts. Baltimore gave up 39 attempts on the ground for 155 yds (4.0 yards per carry). The Ravens pass defense allowed a completion rate of 90.0%, surrendering 134 yards on 18 out of 20 through the air.

When looking at the points being put on the board, the Ravens rank 4th out of all teams in the NFL by scoring 28.4 PPG. During the season to this point, the Ravens have thrown for a total of 3,635 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 213.8 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 21st in the NFL. They have an average of 156.5 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 2,661 yards for this year. The Baltimore Ravens average 370.4 yards per outing which has them sitting 6th out of all teams in the NFL. The Baltimore offense has accrued 955 yards of penalties on 102 violations, which is good for 10th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 7 picks while losing 12 fumbles and they have recorded 180 first downs.

They have surrendered 18 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 191.9 yards per contest, which has them in 6th in the league. Baltimore has allowed a total of 1,860 rushing yards (109.4 yards/game) and 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 280 points in total. They have earned 31 turnovers (13 fumbles recovered and 18 interceptions) on the campaign. The Ravens defense has been on the field for 1,109 plays, which ranks 28th in football. The Ravens are giving up 16.5 points per game, ranking them 1st of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Ravens NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Texans +9

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