Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 12/5/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Date: Thursday, December 5, 2024

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Green Bay Packers (9-3) are en route to Ford Field on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Detroit Lions (11-1). Detroit is 3.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 51.

The Green Bay Packers step onto the field holding a record of 9-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Packers went up against the Miami Dolphins and took home the win by a score of 30-17. Jordan Love went 21/28 with 274 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 129.2 and finished the game without throwing a pick. Tucker Kraft left with an average of 13.0 yds per reception by totaling 78 yds on 6 receptions. Josh Jacobs was the best rusher for the Packers with 19 carries for 43 yds (2.3 yds per attempt). When the final whistle blew, they had 53 plays which totaled 388 yards. The Green Bay Packers ran the rock 25 different times and amassed 114 yds, which had them averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Against the run, the Packers gave up 39 yards on 14 attempts, which calculates to 2.8 yds per rush surrendered. Green Bay gave up 37 completions on 46 attempts for a total of 336 yards, and a completion rate of 80.4%.

Concerning scoring points, the Green Bay Packers are averaging 26.5 points per game. As a team they are averaging 148.5 yards on the ground which has them sitting 5th in the NFL. The Packers have racked up 4,594 total yards for the year. Green Bay has compiled 126 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 82 penalties for 594 yds. They have surrendered the football 14 different times (11 picks and 3 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Green Bay has earned 23 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Packers have allowed 2,608 yards which has them sitting in 16th in the league. They have yielded 217.3 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.0%. They have relinquished 16 touchdowns by air in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground. In total, they are giving up 323.9 yards per outing which has them ranked 12th in the National Football League. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 106.6 rushing yards per contest this year. The Packers are ranked 10th in the NFL in relation to their opponents scoring, conceding 20.0 points per game. During this campaign, they have given up 1,279 rushing yards through 12 games.

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The Lions come into this matchup with a record of 11-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Lions went home victorious with a score of 23-20 when they faced the Chicago Bears. Jared Goff (2 TDs) ended the game with 221 yards on 21/34 through the air while his QB rating was 100.2. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.5 yards. Amon-Ra St. Brown was a featured target for the Lions, grabbing 5 throws for 73 yards (14.6 yards per catch). David Montgomery ran the ball 21 times for 88 yards, ending the contest with 4.2 yards per attempt for Detroit. The Lions finished the game with 405 yards while they ran 67 plays (6.0 yards per play). Detroit ran the ball for 5.9 yards per tote, totaling 194 yards on 33 attempts. Detroit relinquished 15 run attempts for 78 yards (5.2 yds per rush). The Lions secondary conceded a completion rate of 51.3%, relinquishing 223 yds on 20 out of 39 through the air.

The Detroit Lions hold an average of 395.2 yards per outing ranking them 2nd in the NFL. They are averaging 154.4 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,853 yards for the year. The Detroit offense has compiled 730 yds of penalties on 74 violations, which has them ranked 17th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. During this campaign thus far, the Lions have thrown for a total of 2,889 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 240.8 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 5th in the league. In relation to putting points on the board, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL averaging 31.9 points per game.

The Lions are conceding 16.9 points per game, which has them in 2nd in the league. They have allowed 10 touchdowns through the air in addition to 226.8 yards/game, which has them in 25th in the NFL. Detroit has conceded a total of 1,122 yards via the ground game (93.5 yards per game) and 9 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Lions defense has taken part in 722 plays, which is good for 10th in the league. They have earned 19 takeaways (5 fumbles and 14 interceptions) this year.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Packers +3.5

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