Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 11/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (+6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 40.5

Soldier Field is the site where the Chicago Bears (4-5) will try to beat the Green Bay Packers (6-3) on Sunday. Chicago opens this game as 6.0-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 40.5.

The Green Bay Packers come into this game with a record of 6-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Packers played the Detroit Lions and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 24-14. Jordan Love finished 23/39 with 273 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 69.7 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Jayden Reed held an average of 22.6 yards per reception by accumulating 113 yards on 5 receptions. Josh Jacobs was the rushing leader for the Packers with 13 attempts for 95 yds (7.3 yards per attempt). When the final whistle blew, they ran 62 plays for 411 yds. The Green Bay Packers ran the football 23 different times and recorded 138 yards, earning them an average of 6.0 yds per carry. Against the rush, the Packers conceded 124 yards on 32 tries, which averages out to 3.9 yds per run allowed. Green Bay allowed 18 completions on 22 tries for a total of 137 yds, and a completion percentage of 81.8%.

When talking about scoring points, the Green Bay Packers are averaging 25.6 PPG. As a team they average 154.8 yards in the run game ranking them 3rd in the NFL. The Packers have attained 3,515 yards in total over the course of this year. Green Bay has accumulated 96 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 67 penalties for 485 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 times (10 interceptions and 3 fumbles). In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Green Bay has earned 18 touchdowns via the pass and 6 rushing touchdowns.

The Packers rank 11th in the league in relation to team defense, allowing 21.6 points per contest. They are allowing 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 113.0 yards on the ground per contest over the course of this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,017 yards via the ground game in 9 outings. When it comes to passing yards, the Packers have surrendered 1,863 yards which ranks them 14th in the league. They have conceded 207.0 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.9%. Over the course of this season, they have given up 320.0 yards per contest which ranks them 12th in the National Football League. They have given up 13 touchdowns via the pass as well as 8 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bears step onto the field holding a record of 4-5 this season. The last time they took the field, the Bears took a loss by a score of 19-3 when they played the New England Patriots. Caleb Williams ended the game with 120 yds on 16/30 through the air while his QB rate was 63.2. He didn't throw any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 4.0 yds. D'Andre Swift carried the ball 16 times for 59 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.7 yards per attempt for Chicago. Keenan Allen was featured in the passing game for the Bears, bringing in 5 throws for 44 yds (8.8 yds per catch). Chicago ended up running for 3.7 yds per attempt, totaling 73 yards on 20 attempts. The Bears finished the contest with a total of 142 yds while running 50 plays (2.8 yards per play). The Bears passing defense gave up a completion rate of 60.0%, relinquishing 184 yards on 15 for 25 passing. Chicago allowed 35 rush attempts for 144 yds (4.1 yards per rush).

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Bears are ranked 24th out of all teams in the NFL maintaining an average of 19.4 PPG. During this campaign to this point, the Bears have compiled 1,526 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 169.6 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 30th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 108.1 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 973 yards overall. The Chicago Bears average 277.7 yards/outing which ranks them 30th out of all teams in the league. The Chicago offense has accrued 398 yards of penalties on 56 violations, which has them ranked 23rd in the league in terms of helping out the other team.

They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air in addition to 190.4 yards per outing, which puts them in 7th in the league. Chicago has allowed a total of 1,197 rushing yards (133.0 yards per game) and 9 touchdowns rushing for the year. Their defense has earned 16 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 8 picks) this season. The Bears defense taken the field for 542 plays, which ranks 9th in the league. The Bears are giving up 18.6 points per game, which has them in 7th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Bears NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bears +6.0

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