Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans Prediction, 11/10/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Detroit Lions at Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Houston Texans (6-3) will go up against the Detroit Lions (7-1) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Detroit opens as 3.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 49.5.

The Detroit Lions come into this matchup with a record of 7-1 for this season. When they last took the field, the Lions faced the Green Bay Packers and went home with a win by a final score of 24-14. Jared Goff connected on 18/22 with 145 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 109.3 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Jahmyr Gibbs led the offense in rushing for the Lions with 11 attempts for 127 yards (11.5 yards per attempt). Amon-Ra St. Brown held an average of 8.0 yards per catch by accounting for 56 yards on 7 catches. The Detroit Lions ended up running the ball 32 times and totaled 124 yds, which came out to an average of 3.9 yds per carry. In all, they ran 54 plays which gave them 261 yds. Detroit conceded 23 completions on 39 attempts for a total of 273 yds, and a completion rate of 59.0%. In the running game, the Lions gave up 138 yards on 23 attempts, which averages out to 6.0 yards per run allowed.

The Lions have earned 2,957 total yards for the year. Detroit has 92 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 55 penalties for 499 yds. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Detroit has compiled 16 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 5 times (4 picks and 1 fumble). As a team they average 152.6 yards on the ground which has them sitting 6th in the NFL. Concerning scoring points, the Detroit Lions are averaging 32.3 points per game.

Concerning passing yardage, the Lions have surrendered 2,006 yards which ranks them 24th in the league. They have allowed 250.8 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 64.4%. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 8 touchdowns pounding the rock. During this campaign, they have given up 357.1 yards/outing which puts them 22nd in football. They are allowing 4.8 yards per tote and 106.4 rushing yards per contest for the year. The Lions rank 6th in the National Football League regarding team defense, allowing 18.5 points per game. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 851 yards via the ground game in 8 games.

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The Texans come into this game with a record of 6-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Texans took a loss by a final score of 21-13 when they played the New York Jets. C.J. Stroud ended the contest with 191 yards on 11/30 passing while his QB rating was 59.2. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.4 yards. Tank Dell was one of the featured targets for the Texans, catching 6 passes for 126 yds (21.0 yards per reception). Joe Mixon ran the football 25 times for 102 yds, finishing the game with 4.1 yds per carry for Houston. The Texans finished with a total of 322 yds and they ran 67 plays (4.8 yds per play). Houston ran the ball for 5.2 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 187 yards on 36 attempts. Houston allowed 21 rushing attempts for 100 yds (4.8 yds per rush). The Texans passing defense conceded a completion rate of 68.8%, relinquishing 193 yards on 22 for 32 through the air.

The Houston Texans are averaging 348.1 yards/outing which has them sitting 11th in the league. They maintain an average of 126.4 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,138 yards overall. The Houston offense has racked up 574 yds of penalties on 68 infractions, which has them ranked 5th in the league in terms of hurting your team. Over the course of the season to this point, the Texans have compiled 1,995 passing yards along with an average of 221.7 throwing yards per contest, which has them sitting 13th in the league. Regarding their ability to score points, the Texans are ranking 17th in the league scoring 22.3 points per contest.

The Texans are surrendering 22.2 PPG, which puts them in 14th of all teams in the NFL. They have given up 19 touchdowns from the passing game and 167.4 yards per outing, which has them sitting 3rd in the NFL. Houston has surrendered a total of 1,028 yards rushing (114.2 yards per outing) as well as 5 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Texans defense has taken part in 523 plays, which ranks 14th in the NFL. Their defense has compiled 13 turnovers (5 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions) this season.

Who will win tonight's Lions/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Lions -3.5

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