Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Prediction, 9/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Denver Broncos at New York Jets

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (-7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 38.5

The Denver Broncos (1-2) are en route to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will play the New York Jets (2-1). Denver opens this matchup as 7.0-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 38.5.

The Denver Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 1-2 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Broncos took the field against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and took home the win by a score of 26-7. Tyler Badie led the offense in rushing for the Broncos with 9 carries for 70 yds (7.8 yards per carry). Courtland Sutton left with an average of 9.7 yds per catch by earning 68 yards on 7 receptions. Bo Nix connected on 25/36 with 216 yards passing. He had a QB rate of 85 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Against the run, the Broncos gave up 91 yds on 16 attempts, which is 5.7 yds per rush allowed. Denver conceded 25 completions on 33 attempts for 132 yds, and a completion percentage of 75.8%. In all, they ran 64 plays for 352 yds. The Denver Broncos ran the rock 28 times and totaled 136 yards, which came out to an average of 4.9 yards per attempt.

The Broncos have earned 878 total yards for the year. Denver has amassed 22 1st downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 22 penalties for 235 yards. When it comes to scoring, Denver has earned 0 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 6 times (4 picks and 2 fumbles lost). As a team they maintain an average of 99.7 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 22nd in the league. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Denver Broncos are sitting at 17.3 points per contest.

The Broncos are ranked 6th in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 15.3 points per game. The opposition is running for 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 126.0 rushing yards per game for the year. Overall, they have allowed 378 running yards through 3 contests. When talking about yards via the pass, the Broncos have conceded 400 yards which ranks them 2nd in the NFL. They have surrendered 133.3 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 71.8%. For the year, they have surrendered 259.3 yards per contest ranking them 3rd in the NFL. They have relinquished 3 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Jets come into this game with a record of 2-1 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Jets walked away with a victory by a final of 24-3 against the New England Patriots. Breece Hall ran the ball 16 times for 54 yards, ending the contest with 3.4 yds per carry for New York. Tyler Conklin was featured in the passing game for the Jets, bringing in 5 footballs for 93 yards (18.6 yards per catch). Aaron Rodgers (2 TDs) ended the contest with 281 yards on 27/35 through the air while his quarterback rating was 118.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0 yds. New York surrendered 15 running attempts for 78 yards (5.2 yds per rush). The Jets pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 61.5%, surrendering 61 yards on 16 for 26 through the air. The Jets finished the contest with 400 yards while running 68 plays (5.9 yards per play). New York rushed the ball for 4.0 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 133 yds on 33 attempts.

The New York Jets maintain an average of 310.3 yards per outing ranking them 18th in football. They have an average of 100.7 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 302 yards in total. The New York offense has compiled 186 yds of penalties on 18 infractions, which is 19th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. During the season thus far, the Jets have racked up 629 yards via the pass as well as an average of 209.7 throwing yards per outing, which has them sitting 13th in football. When it comes to how much they score, the Jets are sitting 14th in the league by tallying 22.3 PPG.

The Jets are relinquishing 17.3 points per game, which puts them in 8th of all teams in the NFL. They have surrendered 1 touchdown through the air and 150.7 yards/contest, which has them in 4th in the NFL. New York has allowed a total of 388 rushing yards (129.3 yards/game) in addition to 3 touchdowns on the ground this season. The Jets defense taken the field for 178 plays, which is good for 12th in the NFL. They have earned 3 turnovers (2 fumbles and 1 interception) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jets -7.0

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