Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 10/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints

Date: Thursday, October 17, 2024

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 37.5

The Denver Broncos (3-3) are hitting the road to Caesars Superdome on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the New Orleans Saints (2-4). Denver opens this matchup as 1.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 37.5.

The Denver Broncos come into this game with a record of 3-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Broncos played against the Los Angeles Chargers and took a loss by a final of 23-16. Bo Nix was the rushing leader for the Broncos with 6 attempts for 61 yards (10.2 yards per attempt). Devaughn Vele averaged 19.5 yards per reception by accumulating 78 yds on 4 catches. Bo Nix went 19/33 with 216 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 84.9 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Broncos gave up 128 yards on 38 tries, which averages out to 3.4 yards per rush allowed. Denver relinquished 21 completions on 34 tries for 222 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.8%. When all was said and done, they had 51 plays which gave them a total of 316 yards. The Denver Broncos ended up rushing 18 times and tallied 110 yards, which is an average of 6.1 yds per attempt.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Denver Broncos are averaging 18.7 points per game. As a unit they have an average of 107.3 yards via the ground game which ranks them 23rd in the league. The Broncos currently have 1,669 total yards for this campaign. Denver has compiled 44 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 43 penalties for 390 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 different times (5 interceptions and 4 fumbles lost). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Denver has totaled 5 touchdowns through the air and 4 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning yards through the air, the Broncos have conceded 1,021 yards which has them sitting in 6th in the NFL. They have relinquished 170.2 yards per outing through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 64.4%. They have yielded 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground. For the year, they are granting 284.3 yards per contest which has them sitting 4th in the league. The opposition is running for 4.0 yards per tote and 114.2 rushing yards per game for the year. The Broncos sit in 4th in the league in relation to team defense, giving up 16.0 points per game. During the season, they have allowed 685 running yards through 6 contests.

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The Saints come into this matchup with a record of 2-4 this season. The last time they took the field, the Saints took a loss by a final score of 51-27 when they played the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Spencer Rattler (1 TD) finished the contest with 243 yards on 22/40 through the air while his QB rating was 60.7. He had 2 picks and his Y/A was 6.1 yards. Foster Moreau was a featured target for the Saints, bringing in 2 passes for 54 yds (27.0 yds per catch). Alvin Kamara carried the ball 13 times for 40 yards, finishing the contest with 3.1 yds per carry for New Orleans. The Saints finished the game with a total of 303 yards while running 61 plays (5.0 yds per play). New Orleans ran for 3.9 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 81 yards on 21 attempts. New Orleans relinquished 35 running attempts for 277 yds (7.9 yds per rush). The Saints pass defense conceded a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 317 yards on 24 for 36 passing.

The New Orleans Saints hold an average of 319.8 yards per game which has them ranked 18th in football. They average 119.5 run yards per game and have run for 717 yards overall. The New Orleans offense has 360 penalty yds on 36 infractions, which is good for 19th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. During the season so far, the Saints have compiled 1,202 passing yards as well as holding an average of 200.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the NFL. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Saints rank 5th in football with an average of 27.8 points per game.

They have given up 5 touchdowns through the air and 262.2 yards/game, which has them ranked 29th out of all teams. New Orleans has conceded a total of 802 yards on the ground (133.7 yards/game) in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground this year. Their defense has tallied 12 takeaways (2 fumbles and 10 picks) for the year. The Saints defense taken the field for 391 plays, which is 29th in football. The Saints are giving up 24.5 points per game, ranking them 23rd in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos -1.5

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