Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 11/10/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

The Denver Broncos (5-4) are en route to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday where they will play the Kansas City Chiefs (8-0). Denver opens this contest as 9.5-point dogs. The over/under is set at 44.5.

The Denver Broncos head into this game 5-4 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Broncos played against the Baltimore Ravens and went home with a loss by a final score of 41-10. Bo Nix finished 19/33 with 223 yds through the air. He had a QB rate of 65.6 and finished the game with 1 interception. Michael Burton was the leader on the ground for the Broncos with 2 carries for -1 yards (-0.5 yards per attempt). Courtland Sutton had an average of 17.4 yds per reception by tallying 122 yds on 7 catches. The Denver Broncos ended up running the ball 30 times and totaled 122 yards, which came out to an average of 4.1 yards per attempt. In all, they had 64 plays which totaled 319 yards. Denver allowed 16 pass completions on 19 tries for a total of 269 yds, and a completion rate of 84.2%. When it came to stopping the run, the Broncos gave up 127 yds on 34 attempts, which is 3.7 yards per run allowed.

In terms of scoring, the Denver Broncos hold an average of 20.3 PPG. As a team they are averaging 121.4 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 15th in the league. The Broncos have tallied 2,777 total yards over the course of this year. Denver has tallied 78 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 63 infractions for 551 yards. They have turned the football over 13 times (6 interceptions and 7 fumbles lost). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Denver has earned 9 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground.

The Broncos sit in 3rd in the league concerning team defense, conceding 17.9 points per contest. The opposition is running for an average of 4.0 yards per rush and 108.7 rushing yards per game this season. During the season, they have allowed 978 rushing yards through 9 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Broncos have given up 1,679 yards which has them sitting in 11th in the league. They have yielded 186.6 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 66.6%. In total, they are surrendering 295.2 yards/outing putting them 6th in the league. They have conceded 11 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns via the ground game.

Get all of our NFL Picks Today

The Chiefs head into this matchup 8-0 for this season. In their last game, the Chiefs took home the win by a final score of 30-24 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Patrick Mahomes (3 touchdowns) finished the contest with 291 yds on 34/44 through the air while his QB rate was 116.8. He didn't toss any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 6.6 yards. Kareem Hunt carried the football 27 times for 106 yards, ending the contest with 3.9 yds per carry for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was the top contributor in the passing game for the Chiefs, hauling in 14 throws for 100 yards (7.1 yards per reception). Kansas City ran the football for 3.5 yds per attempt, totaling 124 yds on 35 carries. The Chiefs finished the contest with 384 yds while running 79 plays (4.9 yds per play). The Chiefs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 74.2%, surrendering 189 yards on 23 for 31 passing. Kansas City allowed 19 running attempts for 95 yards (5.0 yds per carry).

The Kansas City Chiefs average 352.5 yards/contest which has them sitting 10th in the league. They hold an average of 122.4 yards per game via the rush and have run for 979 yards for this year. The Kansas City offense has compiled 378 yds of penalties on 42 infractions, which ranks 30th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. For the year so far, the Chiefs have thrown for a total of 1,841 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 230.1 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 10th in the NFL. In terms of their ability to score points, the Chiefs currently rank 10th in football by tallying 25.4 PPG.

They have allowed 11 touchdowns via the pass as well as 209.8 yards per outing, which has them sitting 15th in the NFL. Kansas City has yielded a total of 671 yards via the ground game (83.9 yards per game) and 5 touchdowns by ground for the year. They have tallied 8 takeaways (3 fumbles recovered and 5 picks) this season. The Chiefs defense has participated in 459 plays, which ranks 3rd in the NFL. The Chiefs are allowing 18.4 PPG, which has them in 4th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs -9.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here