Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 1/7/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (+13)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Washington Commanders (4-12) will go up against the Dallas Cowboys (11-5) at FedExField on Sunday. Washington opens this contest as 13-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 45.5.

The Dallas Cowboys come into this game with a record of 11-5 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Cowboys played the Lions and earned the victory with a final of 20-19. Dak Prescott finished 26/38 with 345 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 103.5 and finished the game with 1 interception. CeeDee Lamb averaged 17.5 yds per catch by recording 227 yards on 13 catches. Tony Pollard was the rushing leader for the Cowboys with 16 totes for 49 yds (3.1 yds per carry). In all, they tallied 62 plays which converted into 384 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ended up rushing 21 times and compiled 61 yards, which came out to an average of 2.9 yards per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Cowboys gave up 125 yds on 31 tries, which averages out to 4.0 yds per rush surrendered. Dallas allowed 20 completions on 35 tries for a total of 295 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.1%.

When it comes to scoring, the Dallas Cowboys hold an average of 29.4 points per outing. As a unit they hold an average of 111.8 yards on the ground which is 14th in the league. The Cowboys have earned 5,877 yards in total this season. Dallas has a total of 206 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 113 infractions for 944 yards. They have turned the football over 15 times (9 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Dallas has amassed 32 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Cowboys have surrendered 3,055 yards which has them ranked 5th in the NFL. They are conceding 190.9 yards per outing via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 59.9%. During the season, they have yielded 307.2 yards per outing which ranks them 8th in the NFL. The opposition is running for an average of 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 116.3 yards on the ground per game for the season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,860 rushing yards through 16 games. The Cowboys are sitting in 5th in the league in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 19.1 points per game.

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The Commanders head into this matchup 4-12 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Commanders took a loss by a final score of 27-10 when they faced the 49ers. Sam Howell (1 touchdown) ended the game with 169 yds on 17/28 through the air while his QB rating was 60. He had 2 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.0 yds. Terry McLaurin was the best receiver for the Commanders, snagging 4 footballs for 61 yds (15.3 yards per catch). Brian Robinson Jr. ran the ball 9 times for 44 yards, walking away from the game with 4.9 yds per attempt for Washington. The Commanders finished the game with 225 yds while running 43 plays (5.2 yds per play). Washington ran the football for 4.4 yds per attempt, totaling 62 yds on 14 attempts. Washington surrendered 39 run attempts for 184 yards (4.7 yds per rush). The Commanders secondary conceded a completion percentage of 78.6%, surrendering 224 yds on 22 for 28 through the air.

The Washington Commanders average 321.1 yards/contest which has them sitting 21st in the league. They average 96.4 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,542 yards for this season. They have given away 19 picks while losing 10 fumbles and they have been able to tally 181 first downs. The Washington offense has racked up 662 yds of penalties on 83 infractions, which is 25th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. During the season thus far, the Commanders have compiled 3,595 passing yards together with an average of 224.7 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 18th in football. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Commanders currently rank 23rd in the NFL by tallying 19.9 points per contest.

They have given up 35 touchdowns from the passing game and 259.3 yards/game, which has them sitting 31st in football. Washington has conceded a total of 2,024 yards rushing (126.5 yards per outing) in addition to 14 touchdowns via the rush for the season. This year, they have relinquished 480 points in total. They have compiled 17 takeaways (10 fumbles and 7 interceptions) on the campaign. The Commanders defense has taken part in 1,048 plays, which ranks them 29th in the NFL. The Commanders are conceding 30.0 points per game, which puts them in 32nd in football.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commanders +13

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