Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, 10/6/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Steelers (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43

The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) host the Dallas Cowboys (2-2) at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday. Pittsburgh opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 43.

The Dallas Cowboys head into this game 2-2 for this year. When they last took the field, the Cowboys went up against the New York Giants and took home the win by a score of 20-15. Dak Prescott went 22/27 with 221 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 125.5 and finished the game without throwing a pick. CeeDee Lamb had an average of 14.0 yds per catch by earning 98 yds on 7 catches. Rico Dowdle was the rushing leader for the Cowboys with 11 carries for 46 yards (4.2 yards per carry). Overall, they ran 50 plays which gave them a total of 293 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ran the football 23 different times and tallied 80 yds, which is an average of 3.5 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Cowboys gave up 26 yards on 24 attempts, which is an average of 1.1 yds per run allowed. Dallas conceded 29 pass completions on 40 tries for 277 yards, and a completion rate of 72.5%.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Dallas Cowboys are sitting at 24.3 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 75.3 yards on the ground ranking this team at 32nd in the NFL. The Cowboys have racked up 1,323 total yards for the year. Dallas has earned 48 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 32 penalties for 244 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 3 different times (2 picks and 1 fumble lost). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Dallas has compiled 6 touchdowns via the pass and 2 rushing touchdowns.

The Cowboys are ranked 28th in the NFL in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 26.0 PPG. They are allowing 4.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 145.8 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. For the season, they have conceded 583 yards via the ground game in 4 outings. Regarding yards through the air, the Cowboys have allowed 838 yards which has them sitting in 20th in football. They have given up 209.5 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 65.5%. Overall, they have relinquished 355.3 yards per contest which puts them 26th in the league. They have granted 4 touchdowns via the pass and 8 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Steelers step onto the field holding a record of 3-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Steelers took a defeat with a final score of 27-24 when they played the Indianapolis Colts. Justin Fields (1 TD) ended the contest with 312 yards on 22/34 through the air while his QB rate was 104. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.2 yards. Justin Fields carried the rock 10 times for 55 yds, finishing the game with 5.5 yds per attempt for Pittsburgh. George Pickens was one of the featured targets for the Steelers, catching 7 footballs for 113 yards (16.1 yards per catch). Pittsburgh rushed for 4.1 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 122 yards on 30 carries. The Steelers finished the game with 404 yards and they ran 64 plays (6.3 yds per play). The Steelers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 63.3%, surrendering 225 yards on 19 out of 30 through the air. Pittsburgh surrendered 32 attempts on the ground for 133 yds (4.2 yards per rush).

The Pittsburgh Steelers have an average of 317.8 yards per outing ranking them 17th in the NFL. They have an average of 128.5 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 514 yards overall. The Pittsburgh offense has compiled 206 yds of penalties on 28 violations, which has them ranked 12th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. Over the course of the season so far, the Steelers have earned 757 yards via the pass along with an average of 189.3 passing yards per game, putting them at 22nd in the league. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Steelers rank 24th in football with 18.8 PPG.

They have allowed 4 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 174.5 yards/game, which has them ranked 8th in the NFL. Pittsburgh has allowed a total of 347 yards rushing (86.8 yards per contest) and 1 touchdown rushing for the season. They have totaled 5 takeaways (1 fumble recovery and 4 picks) on the campaign. The Steelers defense has been on the field for 215 plays, which ranks 1st in the NFL. The Steelers are allowing 13.3 points per game, which has them ranked 2nd in football.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Steelers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cowboys +2.5

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