Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 11/3/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, November 3, 2024

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

The Dallas Cowboys (3-4) are on their way to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Falcons (5-3). Dallas opens this matchup as 2.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 52.5.

The Dallas Cowboys head into this matchup 3-4 for this season. In their last game, the Cowboys went up against the San Francisco 49ers and ended up losing by a score of 30-24. Ezekiel Elliott was the leader on the ground for the Cowboys with 10 carries for 34 yds (3.4 yds per carry). CeeDee Lamb averaged 11.2 yds per catch by accumulating 146 yards on 13 catches. Dak Prescott went 25/38 with 243 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 79.2 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. When it came to stopping the run, the Cowboys gave up 223 yds on 36 attempts, which is 6.2 yds per run allowed. Dallas surrendered 18 completions on 26 attempts for 246 yds, and a completion percentage of 69.2%. Overall, they had 57 plays which gave them 292 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ended up running the ball 19 times and recorded 56 yards, which earned them an average of 2.9 yards per tote.

The Cowboys have tallied 2,311 total yards for this campaign. Dallas has accumulated 85 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 53 penalties for 391 yds. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Dallas has amassed 10 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 13 different times (9 picks and 4 fumbles). As a team they have an average of 74.1 yards in the run game ranking them 32nd in the NFL. Regarding putting points on the board, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 21.4 points per outing.

In terms of passing yards, the Cowboys have surrendered 1,526 yards which has them ranked 14th in the National Football League. They have conceded 218.0 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 65.5%. They have granted 10 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns running the ball. During the season, they have yielded 372.6 yards per contest putting them at 26th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 154.6 yards on the ground per contest for the season. The Cowboys rank 31st in the league concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 28.3 points per game. For the year, they have conceded 1,082 rushing yards through 7 games.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 5-3 for this season. When they last took the field, the Falcons walked away with a victory by a final of 31-26 when they played the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Kirk Cousins (4 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 276 yds on 23/29 through the air while his quarterback rating was 145.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 9.5 yards. Bijan Robinson ran the football 13 times for 63 yds, finishing the game with 4.8 yds per attempt for Atlanta. Bijan Robinson was one of the featured targets for the Falcons, grabbing 7 passes for 43 yards (6.1 yds per catch). Atlanta rushed for 4.4 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 129 yards on 29 attempts. The Falcons finished the game with 394 yards while running 58 plays (6.8 yards per play). The Falcons passing defense conceded a completion rate of 74.0%, surrendering 330 yds on 37 for 50 passing. Atlanta conceded 22 run attempts for 102 yards (4.6 yds per carry).

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Falcons are sitting 12th in the NFL maintaining an average of 24.3 points per outing. For the year to this point, the Falcons have earned 2,007 passing yards along with an average of 250.9 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 6th in the league. They have an average of 120.8 rushing yards per game and have run for 966 yards for the season. The Atlanta Falcons average 371.6 yards per contest which is good for 7th out of all teams in the league. The Atlanta offense has accrued 428 yds of penalties on 49 violations, which has them ranked 19th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes.

The Falcons are surrendering 24.4 PPG, which has them ranked 20th of all teams in the NFL. They have yielded 13 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 215.5 yards/game, which puts them in 18th in football. Atlanta has given up a total of 1,061 yards rushing (132.6 yards per outing) and 5 touchdowns by ground for the season. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 517 plays, which has them ranked 28th in the NFL. Their defense has tallied 10 takeaways (3 fumbles and 7 picks) for the season.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -2.5

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