Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 10/6/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

Northwest Stadium is the location where the Washington Commanders (3-1) will take on the Cleveland Browns (1-3) on Sunday. Washington opens this matchup as 3.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 44.5.

The Cleveland Browns head into this game 1-3 for this season. In their last game, the Browns faced off with the Las Vegas Raiders and ended up losing by a score of 20-16. Jerome Ford led the offense in rushing for the Browns with 10 totes for 58 yards (5.8 yards per attempt). Jerry Jeudy held an average of 12.0 yds per catch by tallying 72 yds on 6 receptions. Deshaun Watson connected on 24/32 with 176 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 84.9 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. In the running game, the Browns conceded 152 yds on 29 tries, which is 5.2 yards per run surrendered. Cleveland relinquished 14 pass completions on 24 attempts for 116 yards, and a completion rate of 58.3%. In all, they had 54 plays which converted into 241 yards. The Cleveland Browns ended up rushing 22 times and accounted for 92 yards, which had them averaging 4.2 yds per attempt.

Concerning scoring, the Cleveland Browns are sitting at 16.5 PPG. As a unit they maintain an average of 94.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 26th in the league. The Browns have earned 985 total yards over the course of this year. Cleveland has accrued 31 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 34 infractions for 250 yards. They have turned the ball over 5 different times (3 picks and 2 fumbles lost). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Cleveland has earned 4 passing touchdowns and 2 touchdowns on the ground.

The Browns rank 18th in the NFL in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 21.8 PPG. They are allowing an average of 4.6 yards per rush and 123.3 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 493 rushing yards through 4 outings. Concerning yards via the pass, the Browns have surrendered 703 yards which ranks them 10th in football. They have given up 175.8 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 58.7%. During this campaign, they are conceding 299.0 yards/game which has them ranked 11th in the NFL. They have relinquished 3 touchdowns via the pass and 5 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Commanders step onto the field holding a record of 3-1 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Commanders took home the win by a final score of 42-14 against the Arizona Cardinals. Jayden Daniels (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 233 yds on 26/30 passing while his QB rate was 96.3. He threw 1 pick and his Y/A was 7.8 yards. Brian Robinson Jr. ran the ball 21 times for 101 yards, finishing the contest with 4.8 yds per carry for Washington. Olamide Zaccheaus was the leading receiver for the Commanders, catching 6 passes for 85 yards (14.2 yds per catch). Washington ran for 5.8 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 216 yds on 37 attempts. The Commanders finished the contest with a total of 449 yards on 67 plays (6.7 yards per play). The Commanders passing defense allowed a completion rate of 72.7%, relinquishing 115 yds on 16 for 22 through the air. Washington relinquished 32 rushing attempts for 181 yds (5.7 yards per rush).

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Commanders are sitting 3rd out of all teams in the league maintaining an average of 30.3 points per game. During the season so far, the Commanders have thrown for a total of 852 yards through the air along with holding an average of 213.0 passing yards per contest, which ranks 12th in football. They hold an average of 169.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 677 yards overall. The Washington Commanders average 382.3 yards per game which has them sitting 6th in the league. The Washington offense has totaled 197 penalty yards on 25 infractions, which has them sitting 19th in the league in terms of giving up free yards.

They have conceded 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 220.5 yards/game, which has them ranked 22nd in the league. Washington has given up a total of 546 yards rushing (136.5 yards per game) in addition to 3 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have compiled 2 takeaways (2 fumbles and 0 picks) so far this season. The Commanders defense has participated in 230 plays, which is good for 7th in the league. The Commanders are relinquishing 25.5 points per game, which has them sitting 25th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Browns/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders -3.5

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