Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 11/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-1.0)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

Caesars Superdome is the site where the New Orleans Saints (3-7) will take on the Cleveland Browns (2-7) on Sunday. New Orleans opens as 1.0-point favorites. The over/under is set at 44.5.

The Cleveland Browns head into this matchup 2-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Browns took on the Los Angeles Chargers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-10. Jameis Winston went 26/46 with 235 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 50.5 and finished the contest with 3 interceptions. Nick Chubb was the best rusher for the Browns with 15 carries for 39 yards (2.6 yds per attempt). Cedric Tillman had an average of 12.5 yds per catch by totaling 75 yards on 6 catches. The Cleveland Browns ended up running the ball 24 times and accumulated 79 yards, which is an average of 3.3 yds per attempt. In the game, they ran 70 plays for 292 yards. Cleveland conceded 18 pass completions on 27 tries for 246 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. Against the rush, the Browns gave up 96 yds on 23 tries, which is an average of 4.2 yards per run allowed.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Cleveland Browns are sitting at 16.4 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 91.0 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 28th in the National Football League. The Browns have tallied 2,470 total yards for this campaign. Cleveland has amassed 87 1st downs, and they have been called for 71 penalties for 536 yards. They have surrendered the ball 12 different times (8 picks and 4 fumbles lost). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Cleveland has earned 10 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns.

The Browns are ranked 21st in the NFL concerning team defense, conceding 23.7 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.5 yards per rush and 122.6 yards on the ground per contest this season. During the season, they have conceded 1,103 rushing yards through 9 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Browns have given up 1,851 yards which has them sitting in 12th in the NFL. They have yielded 205.7 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 59.8%. In total, they are granting 328.2 yards per game ranking them 16th in the NFL. They have yielded 12 touchdowns by air and 11 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Saints head into this matchup 3-7 for this season. In their last game, the Saints walked away with a victory by a final of 20-17 when they faced the Atlanta Falcons. Derek Carr (2 TDs) walked away from the game with 269 yards on 16/25 passing while his quarterback rate was 126.9. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 10.8 yds. Marquez Valdes-Scantling was featured in the passing game for the Saints, hauling in 3 footballs for 109 yards (36.3 yards per reception). Alvin Kamara carried the football 17 times for 55 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.2 yards per attempt for New Orleans. The Saints finished with a total of 365 yards and they ran 52 plays (7.0 yds per play). New Orleans ran the ball for 3.6 yards per carry, finishing the game with 96 yards on 27 carries. New Orleans allowed 32 attempts on the ground for 181 yds (5.7 yds per carry). The Saints pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 60.5%, surrendering 287 yards on 23 out of 38 passing.

The New Orleans Saints maintain an average of 334.8 yards per outing ranking them 16th in the league. They average 122.4 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,224 yards overall. The New Orleans offense has totaled 646 penalty yards on 66 violations, which ranks 11th in football in terms of giving up free yards. For the season thus far, the Saints currently sit at 2,124 passing yards in addition to an average of 212.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 16th in the league. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Saints sit 16th in the NFL holding an average of 22.7 PPG.

The Saints are surrendering 24.6 points per game, which has them ranked 24th in the league. They have conceded 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 244.6 yards per outing, which has them in 29th in football. New Orleans has given up a total of 1,410 rushing yards (141.0 yards/game) in addition to 14 touchdowns rushing for the season. The Saints defense has taken part in 639 plays, which is 25th in football. They have 15 turnovers (3 fumbles recovered and 12 picks) this season.

Who will win tonight's Browns/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints -1.0

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