Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/7/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Chicago Bears (7-9) are hitting the road to Lambeau Field on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Green Bay Packers (8-8). Green Bay opens this contest as 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 43.5.

The Chicago Bears step onto the field holding a record of 7-9 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Bears went up against the Falcons and notched a win by a score of 37-17. Khalil Herbert was the best rusher for the Bears with 18 attempts for 124 yards (6.9 yards per carry). D.J. Moore had an average of 17.7 yards per reception by totaling 159 yards on 9 receptions. Justin Fields connected on 20/32 with 268 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 99.5 and walked away from the game with no interceptions. In the running game, the Bears gave up 134 yards on 24 attempts, which is an average of 5.6 yds per run allowed. Chicago surrendered 13 completions on 33 attempts for 173 yds, and a completion rate of 39.4%. In all, they ran 72 plays which gave them 432 yards. The Chicago Bears ran the ball 37 times and totaled 192 yds, which came out to an average of 5.2 yds per attempt.

The Bears have tallied 5,303 total yards over the course of this season. Chicago has earned 161 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 98 penalties for 843 yds. In terms of notching touchdowns, Chicago has amassed 19 touchdowns through the air and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 25 different times (15 picks and 10 fumbles). As a team they're averaging 145.3 yards on the ground which ranks them 2nd in the league. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Chicago Bears are averaging 21.9 points per game.

The Bears rank 20th in the NFL concerning team defense, allowing 22.6 PPG. They are allowing an average of 3.7 yards per attempt on the ground and 84.0 rushing yards per contest this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,344 running yards through 16 games. Regarding passing yards, the Bears have given up 3,735 yards which has them sitting in 21st in the NFL. They are conceding 233.4 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 65.5%. During the season, they have given up 317.4 yards per contest which puts them 12th in the National Football League.

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The Packers step onto the field holding a record of 8-8 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Packers took home the win by a final score of 33-10 against the Vikings. Jordan Love (3 TDs) finished the contest with 256 yds on 24/33 through the air while his QB rate was 125.3. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his avg yards per attempt was 7.8 yds. Bo Melton was one of the featured targets for the Packers, grabbing 6 passes for 105 yds (17.5 yds per catch). Aaron Jones ran the ball 20 times for 120 yards, ending the contest with 6.0 yards per carry for Green Bay. The Packers finished the game with a total of 470 yards and they ran 73 plays (6.4 yds per play). Green Bay ran for 4.5 yds per attempt, finishing with 177 yards on 39 carries. Green Bay conceded 16 attempts on the ground for 67 yards (4.2 yds per carry). The Packers passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 56.3%, relinquishing 144 yds on 18 for 32 through the air.

The Green Bay Packers are averaging 340.1 yards per outing which has them sitting 13th out of all teams in the NFL. They are averaging 111.3 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,781 yards in total. They have given away 11 picks while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to earn 197 first downs. The Green Bay offense has racked up 851 yards of penalties on 104 infractions, which ranks 6th in the league in terms of hurting your team. For the season so far, the Packers have thrown for a total of 3,660 passing yards along with an average of 228.8 passing yards per contest, which ranks 17th in the NFL. When discussing their scoring prowess, the Packers are sitting 11th out of all teams in the league with 22.9 points per outing.

They have conceded 21 touchdowns from the passing game and 212.4 yards per game, ranking them 11th out of all teams. Green Bay has surrendered a total of 2,106 yards rushing (131.6 yards/game) and 15 touchdowns rushing this season. Overall, they have conceded 341 points in total. They have totaled 18 turnovers (11 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) on the campaign. The Packers defense taken the field for 1,015 plays, which is good for 13th in football. The Packers are allowing 21.3 points per game, which has them ranked 14th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Packers -3

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