Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/5/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Packers (-8.5)

Total-Over-Under: 40.5

The Chicago Bears (4-12) are hitting the road to Lambeau Field on Sunday where they will take on the Green Bay Packers (11-5). Chicago opens as 8.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 40.5.

The Chicago Bears head into this matchup 4-12 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bears faced the Seattle Seahawks and took a loss by a score of 34-17. D'Andre Swift was the rushing leader for the Bears with 12 carries for 53 yards (4.4 yds per carry). D.J. Moore held an average of 9.0 yards per reception by earning 54 yds on 6 receptions. Caleb Williams finished 16-28 with 122 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rate of 53 and ended the contest with 1 interception. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bears conceded 146 yards on 32 attempts, which is an average of 4.6 yds per rush allowed. Chicago allowed 23 pass completions on 32 attempts for a total of 329 yds, and a completion rate of 71.9%. For the game, they ran 51 plays for 179 yards. The Chicago Bears ended up running the ball 23 times and compiled 103 yards, earning them an average of 4.5 yards per carry.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Chicago Bears are sitting at 17.9 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 103.2 yards via the ground game ranking them 25th in the league. The Bears have tallied 4,596 total yards over the course of this season. Chicago has tallied 162 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 103 penalties for 822 yards. They have surrendered the football 14 different times (6 interceptions and 8 fumbles). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Chicago has amassed 19 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns via the ground.

The Bears are ranked 12th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, conceding 21.8 PPG. They are allowing 4.7 yards per run and 133.4 rushing yards per game this season. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 2,134 yards via the running game in 16 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Bears have surrendered 3,521 yards which puts them in 18th in the NFL. They have given up 220.1 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.4%. Overall, they have surrendered 353.4 yards per game putting them at 25th in the league. They have allowed 17 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 18 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Packers head into this matchup 11-5 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Packers got the victory with a final of 34-0 when they faced the Minnesota Vikings. Jordan Love (1 touchdown) walked away from the game with 185 yds on 19-30 passing while his quarterback rate was 91.7. He didn't throw any picks and his Y-A was 6.2 yards. Romeo Doubs was a featured target for the Packers, snagging 7 balls for 58 yards (8.3 yds per catch). Josh Jacobs carried the rock 17 times for 69 yards, ending the contest with 4.1 yds per attempt for Green Bay. The Packers finished the game with 271 yds while running 54 plays (5.0 yds per play). Green Bay ran the ball for 4.3 yards per attempt, totaling 104 yards on 24 carries. Green Bay conceded 20 rushing attempts for 67 yards (3.4 yds per carry). The Packers secondary allowed a completion percentage of 50.0%, relinquishing 129 yds on 15 out of 30 passing.

The Green Bay Packers have an average of 371.0 yards per game ranking them 6th out of all teams in the league. They have an average of 144.6 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 2,313 yards for this year. The Green Bay offense has totaled 791 penalty yards on 107 infractions, which is good for 10th in football in terms of making mistakes. During this campaign to this point, the Packers have thrown for a total of 3,623 passing yards along with an average of 226.4 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 12th in the league. Regarding putting points on the board, the Packers rank 8th in football holding an average of 27.4 points per contest.

The Packers are giving up 19.6 PPG, which has them in 6th of all teams in the league. They have allowed 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 219.8 yards-game, ranking them 17th in the league. Green Bay has conceded a total of 1,606 yards on the ground (100.4 yards per game) in addition to 12 touchdowns via the rush this season. The Packers defense has been on the field for 979 plays, which has them sitting 12th in the NFL. Their defense has 29 takeaways (13 fumbles and 16 interceptions) so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Bears-Packers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears +8.5

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