Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 11/28/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions

Date: Thursday, November 28, 2024

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Chicago Bears (4-7) are on their way to Ford Field on Thursday where they will play the Detroit Lions (10-1). Detroit opens this contest as 10.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 48.5.

The Chicago Bears head into this matchup 4-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Bears took the field against the Minnesota Vikings and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 30-27. Caleb Williams led the offense in rushing for the Bears with 6 carries for 33 yds (5.5 yds per carry). D.J. Moore averaged 15.1 yds per reception by recording 106 yds on 7 catches. Caleb Williams went 32/47 with 340 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 103.1 and walked away from the game with no interceptions. When it came to stopping the run, the Bears conceded 124 yards on 27 tries, which is an average of 4.6 yds per rush allowed. Chicago conceded 23 completions on 35 tries for 328 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.7%. In all, they ran 70 plays which gave them a total of 398 yds. The Chicago Bears ran the football 22 different times and totaled 78 yards, which had them averaging 3.5 yds per carry.

The Bears currently have 3,288 total yards this year. Chicago has a total of 111 first downs, and they have committed 70 penalties for 528 yards. In terms of notching touchdowns, Chicago has compiled 11 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 9 different times (5 picks and 4 fumbles lost). As a team they hold an average of 111.8 yards on the ground which has them sitting 22nd in the NFL. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Chicago Bears are averaging 20.1 PPG.

When talking about passing yards, the Bears have given up 2,302 yards which ranks them 11th in football. They have allowed 209.3 yards per outing via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 62.8%. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 12 touchdowns via the ground game. For the season, they are giving up 339.0 yards per outing putting them at 17th in the league. The opposition is running for an average of 4.8 yards per tote and 129.7 yards on the ground per contest over the course of this year. The Bears are sitting in 8th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, conceding 19.7 points per game. During the season, they have allowed 1,427 running yards through 11 contests.

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The Lions head into this game 10-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Lions got the victory with a final of 24-6 when they faced the Indianapolis Colts. Jahmyr Gibbs ran the football 21 times for 90 yds, ending the game with 4.3 yds per carry for Detroit. Jameson Williams had the best day in terms of receiving for the Lions, bringing in 5 footballs for 64 yds (12.8 yds per reception). Jared Goff walked away from the game with 269 yds on 26/36 through the air while his quarterback rating was 93.4. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.5 yds. Detroit gave up 21 attempts on the ground for 96 yards (4.6 yds per rush). The Lions pass defense allowed a completion rate of 39.3%, surrendering 172 yds on 11 for 28 passing. The Lions ended up finishing with 390 yds while they ran 69 plays (5.7 yards per play). Detroit ended up running for 4.2 yds per attempt, totaling 137 yds on 33 attempts.

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Lions rank 1st in the league averaging 32.7 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Lions currently sit at 2,678 yards through the air as well as an average of 243.5 passing yards per game, ranking them 6th in the league. They are averaging 150.8 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,659 yards in total. The Detroit Lions maintain an average of 394.3 yards per outing which is good for 2nd out of all teams in the NFL. The Detroit offense has compiled 651 penalty yards on 68 infractions, which ranks 19th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition.

They have yielded 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 227.2 yards per outing, which has them sitting 25th out of all teams. Detroit has given up a total of 1,044 yards rushing (94.9 yards per outing) and 9 touchdowns by ground this season. Their defense has earned 19 turnovers (5 fumbles and 14 interceptions) for the season. The Lions defense taken the field for 663 plays, which ranks 12th in football. The Lions are conceding 16.6 PPG, ranking them 2nd of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears +10.5

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