Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 8/10/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason Week 1

Game: Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills

Date: Saturday, August 10, 2024

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: NFL+

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 37

Highmark Stadium is the site where the Buffalo Bills (11-6 last season) will try to defeat the Chicago Bears (7-10 last year) on Saturday. Buffalo is 3-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 37.

The Chicago Bears ended the year having earned a 7-10 record. When they last stepped on the football field, the Bears played the Packers and ended up losing by a score of 17-9. Justin Fields went 11/16 with 148 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 97.9 and walked away from the contest without throwing an interception. Khalil Herbert was the rushing leader for the Bears with 12 attempts for 28 yards (2.3 yds per attempt). D.J. Moore left with an average of 16.0 yards per catch by earning 64 yds on 4 catches. The Chicago Bears ended up running the ball 25 times and recorded 75 yds, which came out to an average of 3.0 yds per carry. In all, they tallied 46 plays for 192 yds. Chicago gave up 27 completions on 32 attempts for 308 yds, and a completion percentage of 84.4%. On the ground, the Bears conceded 124 yds on 27 attempts, which calculates to 4.6 yards per run allowed.

The Bears had 5,495 total yards last season. Chicago recorded 169 1st downs as a team, and they committed 99 penalties for 853 yards. Chicago earned 19 touchdowns via the pass and 16 rushing touchdowns. They turned the ball over 25 different times (15 interceptions and 10 fumbles). As a unit they maintained an average of 141.1 yards on the ground, which was 2nd in the NFL. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Chicago Bears had an average of 21.2 points per game.

When it comes to passing yards, the Bears conceded 4,043 yards which had them sitting in 25th in the National Football League. Over the course of their 17 games played, they allowed 237.8 yards per game through the air and surrendering a completion percentage of 66.5%. They granted 324.2 yards per outing which put them 12th in football. The opposition ran for an average of 3.8 yards per tote and 86.4 rushing yards per game for the previous season. Overall, they gave up 1,468 rushing yards through 17 contests. The Bears were ranked 20th in the league concerning team defense, giving up 22.3 PPG.

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The Bills wrapped up their year having a 11-6 mark. In their last contest, the Bills took a loss by a final score of 27-24 against the Chiefs. Josh Allen (1 TD) finished the contest with 186 yards on 26/39 passing while his QB rating was 86.1. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 4.8 yds. Dalton Kincaid was featured in the passing game for the Bills, catching 5 balls for 45 yards (9.0 yds per reception). Josh Allen carried the ball 12 times for 72 yds, finishing the game with 6.0 yards per carry for Buffalo. The Bills finished with a total of 368 yards on 78 plays (4.7 yds per play). Buffalo ran for 4.7 yds per carry, finishing the game with 182 yards on 39 attempts. Buffalo allowed 24 rushing attempts for 146 yards (6.1 yds per carry). The Bills passing defense gave up a completion rate of 73.9%, surrendering 215 yards on 17 for 23 passing.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Bills sat 6th in the NFL with 26.5 points per outing. Last year, the Bills compiled 4,154 yards through the air along with an average of 244.4 passing yards per contest, which was ranked 8th in the NFL. They averaged 130.1 yards per game via the rush and toted the ball for 2,212 yards in total. The Buffalo Bills averaged 374.5 yards/contest which ranked them 4th in the NFL. The Buffalo offense accrued 883 penalty yds on 106 infractions, which ranked them 7th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They gave away 18 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 10 fumbles and they tallied 199 1st downs.

The Bills allowed 18.3 points per game, ranking them 4th of all teams in the league. They conceded 18 touchdowns through the air as well as 196.6 yards/contest, which had them sitting 7th in the NFL. Buffalo gave up a total of 1,880 yards on the ground (110.6 yards per game) in addition to 14 touchdowns rushing over the course of last season. The Bills defense took the field for 1,015 plays, which ranked 3rd in the league. They compiled 30 takeaways (12 fumbles and 18 picks) for the prior year. Overall, they surrendered 311 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bears -3

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