Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 11/10/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (+4.0)

Total/Over-Under: 46

Lucas Oil Stadium is the site where the Indianapolis Colts (4-5) will try to beat the Buffalo Bills (7-2) on Sunday. Indianapolis opens this matchup as 4.0-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 46.

The Buffalo Bills come into this matchup with a record of 7-2 this season. In their last contest, the Bills took on the Miami Dolphins and went home with a win by a final score of 30-27. Josh Allen was the best rusher for the Bills with 2 totes for 7 yards (3.5 yds per attempt). Ray Davis had an average of 35.0 yards per reception by earning 70 yards on 2 receptions. Josh Allen finished 25/39 with 235 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 95.6 and ended the game with 1 pick. Against the run, the Bills gave up 149 yds on 31 attempts, which averages out to 4.8 yards per run allowed. Buffalo gave up 25 pass completions on 28 tries for a total of 224 yds, and a completion rate of 89.3%. In all, they had 58 plays for 325 yards. The Buffalo Bills ended up running the ball 19 different times and compiled 94 yds, which is an average of 4.9 yards per attempt.

Concerning getting in the endzone, the Buffalo Bills have an average of 28.9 points per game. As a team they're averaging 119.1 yards rushing which ranks them 17th in the NFL. The Bills have tallied 3,017 yards in total over the course of this season. Buffalo has accumulated 93 1st downs, and they have been called for 57 penalties for 439 yds. They have turned the football over 4 times (2 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). With reference to scoring touchdowns, Buffalo has amassed 17 touchdowns through the air and 13 touchdowns via the ground.

When talking about passing yardage, the Bills have conceded 1,889 yards which ranks them 19th in football. They have conceded 209.9 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 68.2%. They have given up 11 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 6 touchdowns running the ball. In total, they are surrendering 333.3 yards per game which ranks them 17th in football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 123.4 yards on the ground per contest over the course of this year. The Bills rank 8th in the league when it comes to team defense, allowing 19.2 PPG. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,111 rushing yards through 9 outings.

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The Colts head into this game 4-5 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Colts walked away with a loss by a score of 21-13 when they faced the Minnesota Vikings. Joe Flacco ended the contest with 179 yds on 16/27 passing while his QB rating was 63.7. He threw 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.6 yards. Jonathan Taylor ran the football 20 times for 105 yds, finishing the game with 5.3 yards per attempt for Indianapolis. Josh Downs was featured in the passing game for the Colts, grabbing 6 passes for 60 yds (10.0 yards per catch). Indianapolis ran the football for 3.6 yds per attempt, totaling 68 yds on 19 attempts. The Colts finished with a total of 227 yards and they ran 46 plays (4.9 yds per play). The Colts pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 82.9%, surrendering 282 yds on 29 for 35 through the air. Indianapolis relinquished 32 attempts on the ground for 133 yards (4.2 yds per rush).

The Indianapolis Colts maintain an average of 315.0 yards per game which has them sitting 22nd in football. They average 121.3 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,092 yards in total. The Indianapolis offense has racked up 362 yards of penalties on 50 violations, which is 26th in football in terms of hurting your team. During the season thus far, the Colts have a total of 1,743 passing yards along with an average of 193.7 passing yards per contest, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Colts are 22nd out of all teams in the league averaging 20.9 points per game.

The Colts are relinquishing 21.4 points per game, ranking them 12th of all teams in the league. They have given up 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 233.8 yards per game, which has them ranked 26th in the NFL. Indianapolis has allowed a total of 1,348 rushing yards (149.8 yards per contest) in addition to 7 touchdowns via the rush for the year. The Colts defense taken the field for 614 plays, which ranks 32nd in the league. They have compiled 15 turnovers (9 fumbles and 6 interceptions) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Colts +4.0 and over 46 total points

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