Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Prediction, 10/6/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47

The Houston Texans (3-1) will try to defeat the Buffalo Bills (3-1) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Buffalo opens as 1.5-point underdogs. The total has been set at 47.

The Buffalo Bills come into this game with a record of 3-1 this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Bills went up against the Baltimore Ravens and took a loss by a score of 35-10. Josh Allen connected on 16/29 with 180 yards passing. He had a QB rate of 73.9 and ended the game with no picks. James Cook was the leader on the ground for the Bills with 9 attempts for 39 yards (4.3 yds per carry). Khalil Shakir had an average of 15.5 yds per catch by tallying 62 yds on 4 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ended up rushing 23 times and accounted for 81 yards, which is an average of 3.5 yds per attempt. In all, they had 54 plays which totaled 236 yds. Buffalo relinquished 14 pass completions on 19 attempts for a total of 156 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.7%. When it came to stopping the run, the Bills gave up 271 yards on 34 tries, which is 8.0 yards per rush allowed.

The Bills have tallied 1,223 total yards this season. Buffalo has 37 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 20 infractions for 155 yards. With reference to getting in the endzone, Buffalo has earned 7 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 2 times (0 picks and 2 fumbles). As a unit they're holding an average of 110.3 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 17th in the National Football League. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Buffalo Bills are sitting at 30.5 points per contest.

When talking about passing yards, the Bills have surrendered 661 yards which has them ranked 6th in the National Football League. They have surrendered 165.3 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 63.7%. They have conceded 5 touchdowns by air as well as 3 touchdowns running the ball. Overall, they are surrendering 321.8 yards per contest which ranks them 14th in the National Football League. They are allowing 5.7 yards per rush and 156.5 rushing yards per game this season. The Bills rank 12th in the NFL concerning team defense, giving up 20.8 points per game. Overall, they have allowed 626 running yards through 4 contests.

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The Texans head into this game 3-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans took home the win by a final score of 24-20 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Cam Akers ran the ball 13 times for 53 yds, ending the game with 4.1 yds per carry for Houston. Nico Collins was the leading receiver for the Texans, catching 12 footballs for 151 yds (12.6 yards per reception). C.J. Stroud (2 TDs) ended the game with 345 yards on 27/40 passing while his QB rating was 110.9. He didn't toss any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.6 yards. Houston surrendered 24 attempts on the ground for 158 yards (6.6 yds per carry). The Texans pass defense allowed a completion rate of 54.5%, relinquishing 155 yds on 18 for 33 passing. The Texans ended up finishing with 435 yds while they ran 66 plays (6.6 yds per play). Houston ran the football for 3.9 yards per attempt, finishing with 101 yards on 26 attempts.

The Houston Texans have an average of 364.5 yards per game which has them ranked 8th in football. They average 106.8 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 427 yards for this season. The Houston offense has compiled 326 yards of penalties on 40 infractions, which has them sitting 1st in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. Over the course of the season so far, the Texans currently have a total of 1,031 passing yards as well as an average of 257.8 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 3rd in football. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Texans currently rank 17th in the league with an average of 19.8 PPG.

The Texans are allowing 23.5 points per game, ranking them 22nd of all teams in the league. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns via the pass and 161.0 yards/outing, which has them in 4th in the NFL. Houston has allowed the opposition a total of 451 yards rushing (112.8 yards per game) and 3 touchdowns by ground for the year. The Texans defense has taken part in 227 plays, which is good for 5th in football. Their defense has compiled 3 takeaways (0 fumbles recovered and 3 picks) this season.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills +1.5

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