Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 12/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders

Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024

Location: Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Commanders (-4.0)

Total-Over-Under: 47

The Washington Commanders (10-5) will take on the Atlanta Falcons (8-7) at Northwest Stadium on Sunday. Washington is 4.0-point favorites. The total is 47.

The Atlanta Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 8-7 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Falcons stepped onto the field against the New York Giants and went home with a win by a final score of 34-7. Michael Penix connected on 18-27 with 202 yards through the air. He had a QB rating of 73.4 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Darnell Mooney left with an average of 16.4 yards per reception by earning 82 yards on 5 catches. Bijan Robinson was the best rusher for the Falcons with 22 totes for 94 yards (4.3 yards per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they had 65 plays which converted into 329 yards. The Atlanta Falcons rushed the ball a total of 38 different times and accumulated 127 yards, which earned them an average of 3.3 yards per tote. In the running game, the Falcons conceded 45 yards on 13 attempts, which is an average of 3.5 yds per run surrendered. Atlanta conceded 22 pass completions on 39 attempts for a total of 189 yds, and a completion percentage of 56.4%.

In terms of scoring points, the Atlanta Falcons are averaging 21.8 points per game. As a team they have an average of 124.4 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 13th in the league. The Falcons have attained 5,413 total yards this season. Atlanta has recorded 176 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 88 penalties for 748 yards. They have turned the ball over 22 times (17 picks and 5 fumbles). In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Atlanta has compiled 18 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns.

The Falcons are sitting in 20th in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, conceding 23.3 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 112.0 yards on the ground per contest for the season. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 1,680 running yards through 15 games. Concerning yards via the pass, the Falcons have given up 3,351 yards which puts them in 21st in the league. They have relinquished 223.4 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 69.8%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 335.4 yards-game which puts them 13th in the NFL. They have yielded 28 touchdowns by air and 7 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Commanders come into this matchup with a record of 10-5 for this season. In their last contest, the Commanders took home the win by a final score of 36-33 against the Philadelphia Eagles. Jayden Daniels (5 touchdowns) ended the contest with 258 yds on 24-39 through the air while his quarterback rating was 99.1. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.6 yards. Jayden Daniels carried the football 9 times for 81 yds, ending the game with 9.0 yds per carry for Washington. Olamide Zaccheaus was featured in the passing game for the Commanders, grabbing 5 throws for 70 yds (14.0 yards per reception). Washington ran the ball for 4.7 yards per tote, totaling 113 yards on 24 attempts. The Commanders finished the game with a total of 368 yds while running 63 plays (5.8 yds per play). The Commanders secondary gave up a completion percentage of 53.6%, relinquishing 127 yards on 15 for 28 passing. Washington allowed 39 attempts on the ground for 211 yards (5.4 yards per carry).

The Washington Commanders average 373.5 yards per contest ranking them 5th out of all teams in the league. They hold an average of 152.7 run yards per game and have run for 2,290 yards overall. The Washington offense has racked up 797 penalty yds on 93 violations, which ranks 20th in the league in terms of hurting your team. For the season to this point, the Commanders have thrown for a total of 3,313 yards via the pass as well as an average of 220.9 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 16th out of all NFL teams. When looking at their ability to score points, the Commanders are 4th out of all teams in football scoring 28.8 points per game.

They have given up 24 touchdowns via the pass and 185.5 yards-outing, which has them sitting 4th in football. Washington has allowed a total of 2,061 yards rushing (137.4 yards-game) in addition to 15 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have compiled 16 takeaways (10 fumbles recovered and 6 picks) for the season. The Commanders defense taken the field for 894 plays, which has them ranked 7th in the league. The Commanders are giving up 23.2 points per game, ranking them 18th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Falcons-Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders -4.0

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