Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 11/10/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46

The New Orleans Saints (2-7) will take on the Atlanta Falcons (6-3) at Caesars Superdome on Sunday. New Orleans opens this matchup as 3.5-point dogs. The over/under is 46.

The Atlanta Falcons head into this game 6-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Falcons took the field against the Dallas Cowboys and took home the win by a score of 27-21. Kirk Cousins went 19/24 with 222 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a QB rate of 144.8 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Darnell Mooney left with an average of 17.6 yards per catch by accumulating 88 yds on 5 receptions. Tyler Allgeier led the offense in rushing for the Falcons with 6 attempts for 18 yds (3.0 yards per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they had 54 plays which converted into 310 yards. The Atlanta Falcons ended up rushing 30 different times and amassed 100 yards, which came out to an average of 3.3 yards per carry. Against the rush, the Falcons conceded 137 yards on 21 tries, which averages out to 6.5 yards per run surrendered. Atlanta allowed 31 completions on 50 tries for 241 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.0%.

The Falcons currently have 3,283 total yards over the course of this year. Atlanta has accrued 110 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 53 penalties for 454 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Atlanta has compiled 17 touchdowns through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 11 different times (7 interceptions and 4 fumbles). As a unit they're averaging 118.4 yards on the ground which is 18th in the league. In terms of putting points on the board, the Atlanta Falcons are averaging 24.6 points per outing.

The Falcons are sitting in 20th in the National Football League concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 24.0 points per game. They are giving up 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 133.1 yards on the ground per contest for the year. During the season, they have conceded 1,198 yards via the ground game in 9 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Falcons have surrendered 1,965 yards which has them ranked 22nd in the NFL. They have relinquished 218.3 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 70.8%. For the season, they have surrendered 351.4 yards/game which puts them 20th in the NFL. They have given up 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 5 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Saints step onto the field holding a record of 2-7 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Saints took a defeat with a final score of 23-22 against the Carolina Panthers. Derek Carr (1 TD) finished the contest with 236 yards on 18/31 through the air while his quarterback rating was 92.9. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.6 yards. Alvin Kamara was the leading receiver for the Saints, snagging 6 footballs for 60 yards (10.0 yards per catch). Alvin Kamara ran the ball 10 times for 67 yds, ending the game with 6.7 yards per carry for New Orleans. The Saints finished the contest with a total of 427 yds while they ran 73 plays (5.8 yards per play). New Orleans rushed for 4.8 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 197 yds on 41 attempts. New Orleans allowed 23 attempts on the ground for 80 yards (3.5 yds per rush). The Saints passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 61.5%, relinquishing 166 yards on 16 out of 26 through the air.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Saints are ranking 16th in football by scoring 23.0 points per contest. For the season to this point, the Saints have thrown for a total of 1,855 yards via the pass as well as an average of 206.1 passing yards per outing, ranking them 18th in the NFL. They hold an average of 125.3 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 1,128 yards for the season. The New Orleans Saints hold an average of 331.4 yards/game ranking them 16th in football. The New Orleans offense has compiled 570 yards of penalties on 58 infractions, which is 12th in football in terms of helping out the opposition.

They have allowed 8 touchdowns via the pass and 239.9 yards/outing, which puts them in 27th in the NFL. New Orleans has given up a total of 1,229 yards on the ground (136.6 yards per game) as well as 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. They have 14 takeaways (3 fumbles recovered and 11 picks) this season. The Saints defense has been on the field for 566 plays, which has them ranked 22nd in the NFL. The Saints are conceding 25.4 points per game, which puts them in 26th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons -3.5

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