Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 8/9/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason Week 1

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins

Date: Friday, August 9, 2024

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: NFL+

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 37

The Atlanta Falcons (7-10 last season) are traveling to Hard Rock Stadium on Friday where they will try to beat the Miami Dolphins (11-6 last year). Atlanta opens this matchup as 2-point favorites. The total has been set at 37.

The Atlanta Falcons wrapped up their year having a 7-10 record. In their last contest, the Falcons played against the Saints and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 48-17. Desmond Ridder went 22/30 with 291 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 111.9 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Bijan Robinson was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 11 attempts for 28 yards (2.5 yards per attempt). Bijan Robinson averaged 14.7 yards per catch by earning 103 yards on 7 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ran the football 25 different times and tallied 78 yds, which earned them an average of 3.1 yds per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 60 plays for 389 yards. Atlanta allowed 22 completions on 28 attempts for 246 yards, and a completion rate of 78.6%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Falcons gave up 154 yards on 35 attempts, which calculates to 4.4 yds per run allowed.

The Falcons attained 5,683 total yards over the course of last season. Atlanta accrued 181 1st downs offensively, and they committed 84 infractions for 743 yds. Atlanta earned 17 passing touchdowns and 14 touchdowns on the ground. They surrendered the football 28 different times (17 picks and 11 fumbles lost). Offensively they had an average of 127.0 yards rushing, ranking them 9th in the NFL. Concerning scoring, the Atlanta Falcons were sitting at 18.9 points per outing.

The Falcons sat in 18th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 21.9 points per contest. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.0 yards per attempt on the ground and 118.2 rushing yards per game last year. Over the course of last year, they allowed 2,009 rushing yards through 17 games. In terms of passing yards, the Falcons allowed 3,449 yards which put them in 8th in the league. In their 17 games, they surrendered 202.9 yards per game via the pass in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 61.9%. They yielded 321.1 yards/outing which ranked them 11th in football.

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The Dolphins ended the year holding a 11-6 record. In their last contest, the Dolphins took a loss by a score of 26-7 when they faced the Chiefs. Tua Tagovailoa (1 TD) ended the game with 199 yards on 20/39 through the air while his QB rate was 63.9. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.1 yards. Raheem Mostert carried the ball 8 times for 33 yds, finishing the game with 4.1 yds per attempt for Miami. Tyreek Hill was one of the featured targets for the Dolphins, catching 5 throws for 62 yds (12.4 yards per reception). Miami ran for 4.2 yds per carry, finishing with 76 yds on 18 attempts. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 264 yds and they ran 59 plays (4.5 yards per play). The Dolphins passing defense conceded a completion rate of 56.1%, surrendering 262 yds on 23 out of 41 passing. Miami conceded 34 rush attempts for 147 yards (4.3 yards per rush).

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Dolphins earned a ranking of 2nd in the league by scoring 29.2 points per game. Last season, the Dolphins threw for 4,514 yards through the air as well as averaging 265.5 passing yards per game, which ranked 1st in football. They averaged 135.8 yards per game via the rush and toted the ball for 2,308 yards for the year. The Miami Dolphins maintained an average of 401.3 yards per contest which was good for 1st out of all teams in the NFL. The Miami offense had 767 yds of penalties on 97 violations, which ranked them 16th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. They threw 15 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 10 fumbles and they recorded 223 1st downs.

They yielded 27 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 221.2 yards/outing, which had them ranked 15th in the NFL. Miami allowed the opposition a total of 1,650 rushing yards (97.1 yards/game) and 15 touchdowns on the ground last season. Over the course of the season, they surrendered 391 total points. They compiled 27 takeaways (12 fumbles recovered and 15 picks) in the prior season. The Dolphins defense was on the field for 1,057 plays, which had them ranked 11th in the NFL. The Dolphins gave up 23.0 points per game, ranking them 22nd in football.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins +2

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