Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 11/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-2.0)

Total/Over-Under: 44

Empower Field at Mile High is the location where the Denver Broncos (5-5) will play the Atlanta Falcons (6-4) on Sunday. Atlanta is 2.0-point dogs. The total is 44.

The Atlanta Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 6-4 for this year. When they last took the field, the Falcons took on the New Orleans Saints and ended up losing by a score of 20-17. Bijan Robinson led the offense in rushing for the Falcons with 20 carries for 116 yds (5.8 yds per carry). Drake London held an average of 12.1 yds per catch by earning 97 yards on 8 receptions. Kirk Cousins connected on 23/38 with 306 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rate of 75.1 and walked away from the contest with 1 interception. Against the run, the Falcons conceded 96 yds on 27 tries, which is 3.6 yds per rush allowed. Atlanta allowed 16 pass completions on 25 attempts for 269 yds, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. At the end of the game, they ran 70 plays for 468 yds. The Atlanta Falcons ended up running the ball 32 different times and compiled 181 yds, which had them averaging 5.7 yds per attempt.

Concerning scoring points, the Atlanta Falcons have an average of 23.8 points per game. As a team they have an average of 124.7 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 12th in the league. The Falcons have tallied 3,751 total yards this season. Atlanta has accounted for 122 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 59 infractions for 499 yards. They have turned the football over 12 different times (8 interceptions and 4 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Atlanta has compiled 17 touchdowns via the pass and 8 rushing touchdowns.

The Falcons are ranked 20th in the league in terms of team defense, giving up 23.6 PPG. They are allowing 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 129.4 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have given up 1,294 rushing yards through 10 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Falcons have allowed 2,234 yards which puts them in 26th in the league. They have yielded 223.4 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 70.3%. Overall, they are conceding 352.8 yards/outing which has them ranked 24th in football. They have granted 17 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 5 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 5-5 this season. In their last game, the Broncos took a loss by a score of 16-14 when they faced the Kansas City Chiefs. Audric Estime carried the ball 14 times for 53 yds, finishing the game with 3.8 yards per attempt for Denver. Courtland Sutton was a featured target for the Broncos, hauling in 6 balls for 70 yards (11.7 yds per reception). Bo Nix (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 215 yds on 22/30 passing while his quarterback rate was 115.3. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 7.2 yds. Denver conceded 19 rushing attempts for 57 yds (3.0 yards per rush). The Broncos pass defense conceded a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 243 yds on 28 for 42 passing. The Broncos finished the game with 260 yards while running 53 plays (4.9 yds per play). Denver rushed for 3.4 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 78 yds on 23 carries.

The Denver Broncos are averaging 303.7 yards/outing which ranks them 24th out of all teams in the NFL. They maintain an average of 117.1 run yards per game and have run for 1,171 yards for the year. The Denver offense has accrued 586 yds of penalties on 69 infractions, which has them sitting 7th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. For the year so far, the Broncos have compiled 1,866 yards through the air in addition to an average of 186.6 throwing yards per game, putting them at 27th in the NFL. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Broncos are 22nd in the NFL by scoring 19.7 points per contest.

The Broncos are conceding 17.7 PPG, ranking them 4th in football. They have yielded 12 touchdowns through the air and 192.2 yards per contest, which has them sitting 10th in the NFL. Denver has given up a total of 1,035 yards rushing (103.5 yards/game) and 6 touchdowns by ground this year. The Broncos defense has taken part in 629 plays, which is 22nd in the league. They have earned 12 turnovers (5 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons +2.0

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