Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, 10/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Washington Commanders (2-1) are traveling to Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday where they will go up against the Philadelphia Eagles (3-0). Philadelphia opens this matchup as 7.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 44.

The Washington Commanders head into this game 2-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Commanders took on the Bills and ended up losing by a score of 37-3. Brian Robinson Jr. was the leader on the ground for the Commanders with 10 totes for 70 yards (7.0 yds per carry). Curtis Samuel held an average of 27.0 yds per reception by earning 54 yards on 2 catches. Sam Howell finished 19/29 with 170 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 41.5 and finished the contest with 4 interceptions. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Commanders gave up 168 yds on 33 tries, which is an average of 5.1 yards per rush allowed. Washington relinquished 20 pass completions on 32 attempts for a total of 218 yds, and a completion rate of 62.5%. For the game, they had 51 plays which gave them 230 yds. The Washington Commanders rushed the ball a total of 13 different times and accounted for 105 yds, which had them averaging 8.1 yards per attempt.

The Commanders have racked up 866 total yards this season. Washington has accrued 29 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 18 infractions for 156 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Washington has amassed 3 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 8 times (5 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). As a unit they have an average of 106.3 yards on the ground which has them sitting 15th in the National Football League. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Washington Commanders have an average of 19.3 PPG.

When talking about passing yards, the Commanders have surrendered 609 yards which ranks them 13th in the league. They are allowing 203.0 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 62.8%. For the season, they are granting 331.7 yards per contest ranking them 14th in football. They are allowing 4.8 yards per rush and 128.7 rushing yards per contest for the year. During the season, they have given up 386 running yards through 3 outings. The Commanders rank 27th in the league when it comes to team defense, conceding 28.7 PPG.

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The Eagles step onto the field holding a record of 3-0 for this year. In their last game, the Eagles took home the win by a final score of 25-11 against the Buccaneers. Jalen Hurts (1 TD) finished the game with 277 yards on 23/37 through the air while his quarterback rating was 71.6. He tossed 2 picks and his Y/A was 7.5 yards. A.J. Brown had the best day in terms of receiving for the Eagles, bringing in 9 passes for 131 yds (14.6 yds per catch). D'Andre Swift ran the football 16 times for 130 yds, finishing the game with 8.1 yds per carry for Philadelphia. The Eagles finished the game with a total of 472 yds while running 78 plays (6.1 yards per play). Philadelphia rushed for 5.0 yards per carry, finishing the game with 201 yards on 40 attempts. Philadelphia surrendered 17 attempts on the ground for 41 yds (2.4 yards per carry). The Eagles secondary allowed a completion rate of 60.0%, surrendering 133 yards on 15 for 25 through the air.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Eagles currently sit 7th in the NFL averaging 28.0 PPG. During the season thus far, the Eagles have earned 596 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 198.7 passing yards per contest, putting them at 23rd out of all NFL teams. They maintain an average of 185.7 yards per game via the rush and have run for 557 yards overall. The Philadelphia Eagles are averaging 384.3 yards per game which has them sitting 6th in football. The Philadelphia offense has 114 yds of penalties on 15 infractions, ranking them 28th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 3 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have been able to obtain 25 1st downs.

They have surrendered 8 touchdowns via the pass and 261.7 yards/outing, ranking them 25th in the league. Philadelphia has given up a total of 145 rushing yards (48.3 yards per outing) as well as 0 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. Overall, they have relinquished 59 total points. Their defense has earned 8 turnovers (6 fumbles and 2 interceptions) this season. The Eagles defense taken the field for 177 plays, which is 5th in the league. The Eagles are surrendering 19.7 points per game, which has them ranked 9th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/Eagles NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders +7.5

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