Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, 8/11/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason

Game: Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Date: Friday, August 11, 2023

Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland, OH

TV: No TV

Odds/Point Spread: Browns (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 39

The Washington Commanders (8-8-1 last season) are traveling to Cleveland Browns Stadium on Friday where they will go up against the Cleveland Browns (7-10 last year). Cleveland opens this matchup as 1.5-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 39.

The Washington Commanders finished the season holding a 8-8-1 record. When they last took the field, the Commanders took the field against the Cowboys and walked away with a win by a score of 26-6. Sam Howell finished 11/19 with 169 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 83 and ended the game with 1 pick. Jaret Patterson led the offense in rushing for the Commanders with 17 attempts for 78 yards (4.6 yds per attempt). Terry McLaurin had an average of 24.7 yards per catch by earning 74 yds on 3 catches. The Washington Commanders ran the ball a total of 41 times and accrued 151 yards, which had them averaging 3.7 yards per attempt. On the day, they ran 63 plays which gave them a total of 309 yds. Washington surrendered 14 pass completions on 38 tries for 118 yds, and a completion rate of 36.8%. Against the run, the Commanders conceded 64 yds on 27 tries, which is an average of 2.4 yards per run surrendered.

In terms of scoring, the Washington Commanders were sitting at 18.9 points per game. As a team they held an average of 126.1 yds via the ground game, giving them a rank of 12th in the NFL. The Commanders racked up 5,615 total yards for the prior season. Washington earned 184 1st downs as an offense, and they were flagged for 92 infractions for 805 yds. They surrendered the ball 23 different times (16 picks and 7 fumbles lost). Washington compiled 24 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns via the ground.

The Commanders were ranked 7th in the National Football League regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 20.2 PPG. Opposing teams ran for an average of 4.4 yards per run and 113.3 yards on the ground per contest last year. Overall, they conceded 1,926 yards via the running game in 17 outings. Concerning yards through the air, the Commanders conceded 3,252 yards which put them in 4th in football. In their 17 games played last season, they relinquished 191.3 yards per game via the pass in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 59.9%. They allowed 304.6 yards per outing which ranked them 3rd in the NFL. They allowed 26 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Browns wrapped up their year having a 7-10 mark. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Browns took a loss by a score of 28-14 against the Steelers. Deshaun Watson (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 230 yds on 19/29 through the air while his quarterback rating was 84. He threw 2 interceptions and his Y/A was 7.9 yds. Nick Chubb carried the ball 12 times for 77 yards, walking away from the game with 6.4 yds per carry for Cleveland. Amari Cooper was one of the featured targets for the Browns, hauling in 2 passes for 51 yds (25.5 yards per catch). Cleveland rushed the football for 6.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 134 yds on 22 attempts. The Browns finished the game with 307 yds on 58 plays (5.3 yards per play). The Browns pass defense gave up a completion rate of 44.8%, relinquishing 189 yards on 13 out of 29 passing. Cleveland conceded 37 rushing attempts for 148 yards (4.0 yds per carry).

The Cleveland Browns maintained an average of 349.1 yards/game ranking them 14th out of all teams in the league. They maintained an average of 146.5 yards per game on the ground and rushed for 2,490 yards for the year. The Cleveland offense compiled 865 yds of penalties on 102 violations, which ranked 11th in football in terms of hurting your team. They tossed 12 picks while losing 9 fumbles and they earned 182 1st downs. Over the course of last season, the Browns had a total of 3,444 yards through the air in addition to averaging 202.6 passing yards per game, putting them at 22nd in the league. When it comes to how much they scored, the Browns ranked 18th in the league holding an average of 21.2 PPG.

They allowed 20 touchdowns through the air and 196.2 yards/outing, which had them ranked 5th in the NFL. Cleveland allowed a total of 2,295 rushing yards (135.0 yards per contest) in addition to 22 touchdowns on the ground last season. They compiled 20 takeaways (9 fumbles and 11 picks) over the course of last year. The Browns defense participated in 1,041 plays, which ranked them 8th in the league. Last season, they conceded 381 points in total. The Browns gave up 22.4 points per game, which had them sitting 20th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/Browns NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commanders -1.5

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