Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 10/15/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 42

The Washington Commanders (2-3) are on their way to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will compete against the Atlanta Falcons (3-2). Washington opens this matchup as 1-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 42.

The Washington Commanders head into this matchup 2-3 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Commanders played the Bears and ended up losing by a score of 40-20. Sam Howell led the offense in rushing for the Commanders with 4 carries for 19 yds (4.8 yds per carry). Logan Thomas averaged 8.6 yards per catch by accumulating 77 yds on 9 catches. Sam Howell finished 37/51 with 388 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 99.1 and finished the contest with 1 pick. In the running game, the Commanders conceded 178 yards on 32 attempts, which is 5.6 yards per rush allowed. Washington surrendered 15 pass completions on 29 attempts for a total of 273 yards, and a completion rate of 51.7%. Overall, they ran 66 plays which gave them a total of 388 yds. The Washington Commanders ended up rushing 10 times and tallied 29 yards, which is an average of 2.9 yards per tote.

The Commanders have earned 1,619 total yards for the year. Washington has 62 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 26 infractions for 202 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Washington has amassed 6 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 10 times (6 picks and 4 fumbles). As a team they are averaging 91.0 yards on the ground which ranks them 24th in the league. When talking about scoring points, the Washington Commanders are averaging 21.8 points per game.

When talking about yards through the air, the Commanders have conceded 1,193 yards which ranks them 22nd in the NFL. They are allowing 238.6 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.9%. During this campaign, they have allowed 372.2 yards/outing which puts them 25th in the NFL. The opposition is running for 4.8 yards per rush and 133.6 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 668 rushing yards through 5 games. The Commanders are ranked 31st in the league when it comes to team defense, giving up 32.0 PPG.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 3-2 for this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Falcons got the victory with a final of 21-19 against the Texans. Desmond Ridder (1 touchdown) finished the game with 329 yds on 28/37 through the air while his quarterback rate was 111.2. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.9 yards. Kyle Pitts was the top contributor in the passing game for the Falcons, grabbing 7 passes for 87 yards (12.4 yards per reception). Bijan Robinson carried the ball 14 times for 46 yards, finishing the contest with 3.3 yds per attempt for Atlanta. The Falcons finished the contest with a total of 447 yds while they ran 74 plays (6.0 yards per play). Atlanta ran the football for 2.7 yds per attempt, totaling 96 yds on 36 carries. Atlanta conceded 23 rush attempts for 64 yards (2.8 yds per carry). The Falcons pass defense allowed a completion rate of 57.1%, surrendering 249 yards on 20 for 35 through the air.

The Atlanta Falcons maintain an average of 316.8 yards per contest which has them sitting 20th out of all teams in the league. They hold an average of 121.6 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 608 yards for the season. They have thrown 3 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 54 1st downs. The Atlanta offense has compiled 282 penalty yds on 26 violations, which is 26th in the league in terms of making mistakes. During the season thus far, the Falcons currently have a total of 976 passing yards as well as an average of 195.2 passing yards per game, putting them at 23rd in football. Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Falcons sit 27th out of all teams in the league with an average of 16.6 points per game.

The Falcons are giving up 19.2 points per game, which has them ranked 10th in football. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air and 190.8 yards per game, which has them in 7th in the NFL. Atlanta has surrendered a total of 522 yards on the ground (104.4 yards/game) as well as 1 touchdown rushing this year. The Falcons defense taken the field for 305 plays, ranking them 12th in the league. Their defense has totaled 4 takeaways (1 fumble and 3 interceptions) for the year. In total, they have surrendered 96 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Commanders +1

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