Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41

Caesars Superdome is where the New Orleans Saints (7-10 last year) will take on the Tennessee Titans (7-10 last season) on Sunday. New Orleans opens this contest as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 41.

The Tennessee Titans wrapped up their season having earned a 7-10 record. When they last stepped on the football field, the Titans faced the Jaguars and ended up losing by a score of 20-16. Joshua Dobbs went 20/29 with 179 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 82.4 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Derrick Henry led the offense in rushing for the Titans with 30 carries for 109 yards (3.6 yds per attempt). Chigoziem Okonkwo left with an average of 14.0 yards per reception by totaling 42 yards on 3 receptions. The Tennessee Titans ran the ball 39 times and totaled 147 yards, which had them averaging 3.8 yds per carry. Overall, they tallied 72 plays which gave them 312 yards. Tennessee relinquished 20 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 203 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.5%. On the ground, the Titans conceded 19 yards on 14 attempts, which calculates to 1.4 yards per rush surrendered.

The Titans tallied 5,045 yards in total for the prior year. Tennessee tallied 153 1st downs as a unit, and they committed 111 penalties for 956 yds. Tennessee earned 16 passing touchdowns and 16 touchdowns on the ground. They turned the ball over 23 times (11 interceptions and 12 fumbles). As a unit they held an average of 125.4 yards rushing, giving them a rank of 13th in the league. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Tennessee Titans were sitting at 17.5 points per outing.

In terms of yards through the air, the Titans allowed 4,671 yards which had them ranked 32nd in football. In their 17 games played last year, they allowed 274.8 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 65.4%. They yielded 351.6 yards per contest ranking them 23rd in the NFL. They allowed 29 passing touchdowns in addition to 9 running touchdowns. They allowed teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per run and 76.9 rushing yards per contest last season. During the campaign, they allowed 1,307 running yards through 17 games. The Titans were sitting in 15th in the National Football League regarding team defense, conceding 21.1 points per contest.

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The Saints finished the season having a 7-10 mark. In their last game, the Saints took a defeat with a final score of 10-7 against the Panthers. Andy Dalton (1 TD) finished the contest with 171 yds on 15/25 passing while his QB rate was 93.9. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.8 yards. Alvin Kamara ran the ball 23 times for 107 yds, ending the game with 4.7 yards per attempt for New Orleans. Chris Olave was a featured target for the Saints, catching 5 footballs for 60 yds (12.0 yards per catch). New Orleans ended up running for 4.5 yds per carry, finishing with 143 yds on 32 carries. The Saints ended up finishing with 304 yds while they ran 58 plays (5.2 yards per play). The Saints passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 33.3%, relinquishing 32 yards on 5 out of 15 through the air. New Orleans gave up 41 run attempts for 171 yds (4.2 yards per rush).

In terms of the points being put on the board, the Saints sat 22nd in the NFL maintaining an average of 19.4 PPG. Over the course of last season, the Saints compiled 3,692 yards via the pass as well as averaging 217.2 passing yards per outing, which had them sitting 16th in the NFL. They had an average of 116.6 rushing yards per game and ran for 1,982 yards for the season. The New Orleans Saints averaged 333.8 yards per game which had them ranked 19th out of all teams in the league. The New Orleans offense had 841 yards of penalties on 99 infractions, which had them ranked 12th in the league in terms of helping out the other team. They threw 14 picks while allowing opponents to recover 11 fumbles and they earned 181 1st downs.

The Saints surrendered 20.3 points per game, which had them sitting 9th in football. They conceded 17 touchdowns from the passing game and 184.4 yards/outing, which put them in 2nd in the league. Overall, they allowed 345 points in total. New Orleans yielded a total of 2,218 yards rushing (130.5 yards per game) and 14 touchdowns by ground last year. The Saints defense took part in 1,076 plays, which ranked them 15th in the NFL. They earned 14 turnovers (7 fumbles and 7 interceptions) last season.

Who will win tonight's Titans/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints -3.5

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