Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 12/11/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Monday, December 11, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-13)

Total/Over-Under: 47

Hard Rock Stadium is where the Miami Dolphins (9-3) will compete against the Tennessee Titans (4-8) on Monday. Miami is 13-point favorites. The over/under is set at 47.

The Tennessee Titans head into this game 4-8 for this season. In their last contest, the Titans took the field against the Colts and took a loss by a score of 31-28. Derrick Henry was the rushing leader for the Titans with 21 attempts for 102 yards (4.9 yds per attempt). DeAndre Hopkins left with an average of 15.0 yds per reception by accumulating 75 yards on 5 catches. Will Levis connected on 16/33 with 224 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 80.9 and ended the game without throwing a pick. On the ground, the Titans conceded 55 yards on 23 attempts, which averages out to 2.4 yds per run surrendered. Tennessee allowed 26 pass completions on 42 attempts for a total of 300 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.9%. In all, they ran 81 plays which converted into 381 yards. The Tennessee Titans ran the ball 42 times and totaled 177 yards, earning them an average of 4.2 yards per tote.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Tennessee Titans are averaging 17.8 points per game. Offensively they're averaging 108.9 yards in the run game which has them sitting 17th in the league. The Titans have attained 3,505 total yards for the year. Tennessee has accrued 107 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 78 penalties for 632 yds. They have turned the football over 14 times (8 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Tennessee has compiled 10 touchdowns via the pass and 10 rushing touchdowns.

The Titans are sitting in 17th in the NFL in relation to team defense, allowing 21.3 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 3.7 yards per run and 106.2 yards on the ground per contest for the season. For the year, they have allowed 1,274 rushing yards through 12 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Titans have given up 2,770 yards which puts them in 21st in football. They are giving up 230.8 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 67.3%. Overall, they have given up 337.0 yards/contest which ranks them 17th in football.

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The Dolphins head into this matchup 9-3 this season. In their last game, the Dolphins got the victory with a final of 45-15 when they played the Commanders. Tua Tagovailoa (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 280 yards on 18/24 passing while his quarterback rating was 141. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his avg yards per attempt was 11.7 yds. Tyreek Hill was the best receiver for the Dolphins, catching 5 balls for 157 yds (31.4 yds per reception). De'Von Achane carried the football 17 times for 73 yds, finishing the game with 4.3 yards per attempt for Miami. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 406 yards and they ran 59 plays (6.9 yards per play). Miami rushed the ball for 3.6 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 123 yds on 34 attempts. Miami surrendered 28 attempts on the ground for 138 yards (4.9 yds per rush). The Dolphins pass defense allowed a completion rate of 52.2%, surrendering 107 yds on 12 for 23 passing.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Dolphins are sitting 2nd in football by tallying 32.0 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Dolphins have thrown for a total of 3,421 passing yards as well as holding an average of 285.1 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 1st in the league. They are averaging 143.3 run yards per game and have run for 1,720 yards for the year. The Miami Dolphins hold an average of 428.4 yards per contest which has them ranked 1st out of all teams in the league. The Miami offense has compiled 542 penalty yds on 67 infractions, which is 24th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 11 picks while surrendering 8 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 167 first downs.

The Dolphins are conceding 22.2 points per game, which has them sitting 21st in the league. They have allowed 16 touchdowns via the pass and 203.6 yards per contest, which puts them in 9th out of all teams. Miami has yielded a total of 1,159 yards rushing (96.6 yards/game) as well as 11 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 741 plays, which is good for 9th in the NFL. They have compiled 15 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 10 picks) on the year. This year, they have conceded 266 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Titans/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins -13

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