Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Prediction, 12/31/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

The Tennessee Titans (5-10) are en route to NRG Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Houston Texans (8-7). Tennessee opens this contest as 3.5-point underdogs. The total is 42.5.

The Tennessee Titans come into this game with a record of 5-10 for this season. When they last took the field, the Titans played the Seahawks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 20-17. Derrick Henry was the rushing leader for the Titans with 19 attempts for 88 yards (4.6 yards per attempt). Chigoziem Okonkwo had an average of 10.5 yds per reception by earning 63 yards on 6 receptions. Ryan Tannehill connected on 18/26 with 152 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 84.1 and ended the game with no picks. Against the run, the Titans conceded 58 yds on 20 attempts, which averages out to 2.9 yards per rush allowed. Tennessee conceded 25 pass completions on 36 attempts for a total of 215 yards, and a completion rate of 69.4%. For the game, they had 64 plays which gave them a total of 287 yards. The Tennessee Titans ended up rushing 31 different times and compiled 162 yds, which had them averaging 5.2 yards per carry.

Regarding scoring points, the Tennessee Titans hold an average of 18.3 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 107.9 yards in the run game which is 17th in the league. The Titans have tallied 4,399 total yards this season. Tennessee has tallied 141 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 102 infractions for 838 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 18 times (10 interceptions and 8 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Tennessee has amassed 12 touchdowns via the pass and 14 rushing touchdowns.

The Titans are sitting in 15th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, allowing 21.4 points per game. They are allowing an average of 3.8 yards per run and 109.2 rushing yards per game for the year. During the season, they have allowed 1,638 yards via the running game in 15 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Titans have surrendered 3,385 yards which puts them in 18th in the league. They are allowing 225.7 yards per game via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 67.3%. Overall, they are conceding 334.9 yards per contest which has them ranked 17th in the NFL.

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The Texans come into this matchup with a record of 8-7 this season. In their last game, the Texans took a loss by a score of 36-22 when they faced the Browns. Davis Mills (2 TDs) finished the contest with 149 yds on 15/32 passing while his quarterback rate was 81.4. He didn't throw any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 4.7 yds. Dalton Schultz was featured in the passing game for the Texans, catching 8 footballs for 61 yards (7.6 yards per catch). Devin Singletary carried the ball 9 times for 44 yards, ending the contest with 4.9 yds per carry for Houston. The Texans finished the contest with a total of 250 yards and they ran 68 plays (3.7 yards per play). Houston ran the ball for 4.5 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 72 yards on 16 carries. Houston relinquished 30 rush attempts for 54 yds (1.8 yards per rush). The Texans secondary gave up a completion rate of 63.6%, relinquishing 364 yards on 28 for 44 passing.

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Texans are sitting 15th in football holding an average of 21.9 points per contest. Over the course of the season thus far, the Texans have a total of 3,726 passing yards as well as holding an average of 248.4 passing yards per contest, which ranks 7th in the NFL. They are averaging 98.4 run yards per game and have run for 1,476 yards overall. The Houston Texans average 346.8 yards per game which has them sitting 11th in the NFL. The Houston offense has compiled 862 yds of penalties on 102 infractions, which is 5th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 8 picks while losing 6 fumbles and they have obtained 193 1st downs.

They have given up 17 touchdowns via the pass as well as 247.5 yards per game, which has them in 26th in the league. Houston has allowed a total of 1,363 yards on the ground (90.9 yards/game) and 18 touchdowns via the rush for the year. Overall, they have given up 331 points in total. Their defense has tallied 22 takeaways (8 fumbles and 14 picks) over the course of the season. The Texans defense has been on the field for 964 plays, which has them ranked 19th in the league. The Texans are allowing 22.1 points per game, which has them ranked 18th in football.

Who will win tonight's Titans/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans -3.5

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