Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction, 11/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023

Location: Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: 49ers (-11.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41

Levi's Stadium is the location where the San Francisco 49ers (6-3) will try to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) on Sunday. San Francisco opens this game as 11.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 41.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers come into this matchup with a record of 4-5 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Buccaneers faced off with the Titans and went home with a win by a final score of 20-6. Rachaad White was the leader on the ground for the Buccaneers with 20 totes for 51 yards (2.6 yards per carry). Mike Evans averaged 23.8 yards per catch by totaling 143 yds on 6 receptions. Baker Mayfield finished 18/29 with 278 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 102.4 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Against the rush, the Buccaneers gave up 42 yards on 16 attempts, which averages out to 2.6 yards per rush allowed. Tampa Bay allowed 19 completions on 39 tries for a total of 167 yards, and a completion percentage of 48.7%. On the day, they ran 61 plays which gave them 340 yards. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended up rushing 29 different times and compiled 77 yds, which had them averaging 2.7 yds per carry.

Regarding scoring points, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an average of 19.8 points per game. As a team they're averaging 78.1 yards rushing giving them a rank of 31st in the National Football League. The Buccaneers have tallied 2,760 total yards for the year. Tampa Bay has accumulated 99 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 66 penalties for 497 yards. They have turned the football over 8 different times (5 interceptions and 3 fumbles). In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Tampa Bay has totaled 14 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns.

The Buccaneers are ranked 8th in the league regarding team defense, allowing 19.2 PPG. They are allowing 3.7 yards per running attempt and 87.2 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have conceded 785 rushing yards through 9 contests. When talking about passing yardage, the Buccaneers have surrendered 2,402 yards which ranks them 29th in football. They have conceded 266.9 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 66.4%. Overall, they have allowed 354.1 yards per contest ranking them 24th in the National Football League.

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The 49ers come into this game with a record of 6-3 for this season. In their last game, the 49ers went home victorious with a score of 34-3 against the Jaguars. Brock Purdy (3 TDs) finished the contest with 296 yards on 19/26 through the air while his quarterback rate was 148.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.4 yds. Christian McCaffrey carried the rock 16 times for 95 yards, finishing the contest with 5.9 yards per carry for San Francisco. George Kittle was a featured target for the 49ers, snagging 3 balls for 116 yds (38.7 yards per reception). San Francisco rushed for 4.8 yds per carry, totaling 144 yds on 30 carries. The 49ers ended up finishing with 437 yds on 60 plays (7.3 yards per play). The 49ers passing defense conceded a completion rate of 56.3%, relinquishing 162 yards on 18 for 32 through the air. San Francisco relinquished 17 running attempts for 59 yards (3.5 yards per carry).

The San Francisco 49ers are averaging 383.3 yards/contest which has them sitting 3rd in the league. They hold an average of 134.7 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,212 yards overall. They have thrown 5 interceptions while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 109 first downs. The San Francisco offense has accrued 565 penalty yds on 62 infractions, ranking them 12th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. Over the course of the season so far, the 49ers have thrown for a total of 2,238 yards through the air together with holding an average of 248.7 passing yards per contest, putting them at 9th out of all NFL teams. When discussing how much they score, the 49ers are ranked 3rd in the NFL with an average of 28.0 points per outing.

They have given up 10 touchdowns through the air and 221.4 yards per game, which has them sitting 15th in the league. San Francisco has given up a total of 748 rushing yards (83.1 yards per game) as well as 4 touchdowns via the rush this year. This season, they have given up 143 total points. Their defense has 17 takeaways (4 fumbles recovered and 13 picks) on the year. The 49ers defense has participated in 553 plays, which ranks 7th in the NFL. The 49ers are surrendering 15.9 points per game, which has them sitting 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/49ers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the 49ers -11.5

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